Showing posts with label public policy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label public policy. Show all posts

Saturday, June 16, 2018

Anthony Patt — How Changing My Economic Model Made Me a Climate Change Optimist

Neo-classical economics doesn’t offer useful insights for disruption.
Evonomics
How Changing My Economic Model Made Me a Climate Change Optimist
Anthony Patt | Professor of Climate Policy at ETH Zurich, the author of Transforming Energy: Solving Climate Change with Technology Policy (Cambridge Univ. Press 2015), and a Coordinating Lead Author for Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Saturday, February 10, 2018

June Sekera — The absence of a theory of public economy in today’s economics

More than a century ago, the effective operation of the public economy was a significant, active concern of economists. With the insurgence of market-centrism and rational choice economics, however, government was devalued, its role circumscribed and seen from a perspective of “market failure.” As Backhouse (2005) has shown, the transformation in economic thinking in the latter half of the 20th century led to a “radical shift” in worldview regarding the role of the state. The very idea of a valid, valuable public non-market has almost disappeared from sight....
Because mainstream economists in the U.S. and elsewhere have been so market-focused for so long, production outside the market has been erased from the equations of economics. So now, government action is regarded as an “intervention” that “distorts” smooth operation of an otherwise beneficent market. Government is considered to have an economic role only (or primarily) in cases of so called “market failure.” Consequently, there is no viable and explanatory concept of an actual, let alone a legitimate, public non-market economy. So pervasive is the creed that government only “intervenes” in what is thought to be the valid, market economy that even literature from the Congressional Research Service (Labonte, 2010) relegates government to an outsider role.... 
As I noted earlier, the “public choice” school has become the framework to which economists default for an explanation of the public economy. Backhouse (2005) outlines the development of the public choice school, which stems from a cluster of works published in the 1950s and 1960s by James Buchanan, Gordon Tullock, Mancur Olson, and Anthony Downs. It became a school, and a movement, when James Buchanan and Warren Nutter found a home for their efforts at George Mason University in Virginia. In the mid-1980s George Mason opened the Center for the Study of Market Processes, with its largest supporter being the Koch Family Foundations. Stretton and Orchard (1994) have demonstrated the anti-government, anti-democratic stance of public choice theorists in their extensive treatment of the school in Public Goods, Public Enterprise, Public Choice; Theoretical Foundations of the Contemporary Attack on Government. After critiquing the theory in economics terms, they suggest that public choice “reasoning seems to arise from the theorists’ reluctance to ‘come out’ and identify themselves as open enemies of democracy or at least of universal suffrage…Governments are viewed as exploiters of the citizenry, rather than the means through which the citizenry secures for itself goods and services that can best be provided jointly or collectively.”...
Real-World Economics Review Blog
The absence of a theory of public economy in today’s economics
June Sekera, researcher, UCL Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose; founder of the independent Public Goods Institute, and Research Fellow at the Global Development And Environment Institute (GDAE) at Tufts University, where she established and leads GDAE’s Public Economy Project

Friday, January 12, 2018

Geoffrey M. Hodgson — Education is not a public good


I am surprised that Geoffrey Hodgson would make an elementary error in argument by taking an arbitrary definition as an absolute criterion.

His argument actually says that those he is opposing are using the term "public good" in a way that contradicts current convention in the dominant faction of the economics profession.

What if the definition is too narrow to fit the general case and is therefore only suitable for special case models?

This is similar to the claim of conventional economists that the methodological debate is over and only their method is admissible in inquiry and debate.

It's also reminiscent of religious dogmatism.

It is an example of the sort of authoritarian nonsense that Paul Feyerabend was opposing in Against Method (PDF download).

Yeah, I know — "Anarachism," "Postmodernism," "epistemological relativism," and all that. The basis for asserting these types of view derives from an analysis of the role of power in discourse.

This is a classic power play at the level of John Bates Clark and James Buchanan. As an institutionalist, Hodgson should know this. Or maybe he does?

I actually like the conventional definition in some respects, but as guideline rather than a dogma. I don't receive it as "blest."

The "blessing" comes from elevating economic liberalism over social and political liberalism, which results in many paradoxes.

Why should what some liberal economists say (assume) dictate criteria outside the framework in which they serve as arbitrary criteria. Hello, model definitions are always stipulations and their necessity is logical necessity limited to the model.

As for conventional economics and lot more, the influence of these views will recede as the Anglo-American influence declines in a changing world where the Global East and South are rising and the North and West are waning.

New Politics
Education is not a public good
Geoffrey M. Hodgson | Research Professor of Business Studies in the University of Hertfordshire, and also the editor-in-chief of the Journal of Institutional Economics.

Saturday, December 2, 2017

June Sekera — Denial of the public non-market system, and the consequences

Public non-market production makes up a quarter to a half or more of all economic activity among advanced democratic nation-states. Yet the public economy’s ability to function on behalf of the populace as a whole is seriously imperiled in many western democracies, and particularly jeopardized in the United States. The surging influence of mainstream economics has been a prime factor in the degradation of the public domain over the last several decades – a phenomenon that James Galbraith (2008) has called “the collapse of the public governing capacity.”
Market advocates, exploiting neoclassical economic theory, have foisted market axioms and precepts onto government, intent on transforming public goods production in imitation of an idealized and idolized market model.
The ravaging of government in the interests of ideology and private profit has proceeded largely unhampered because we have no adequate theory to explain the nature and dynamics of the non-market public economy, no intellectual infrastructure to explain how its purposes and processes differ crucially from those of the market, and no effective explanatory model that shows why such differences matter substantially for democratic governance and the well-being of the populace....
The post is short and to the point.

However, I think the last sentence may be an exaggeration.

MMT does address this issue in terms of public purpose, and it is not original in doing so. John Kenneth Galbraith's career as public policy economists was all about addressing this and at one time he was listened to, and he played a policy making role in government, too. Many Post Keynesians also focused on this.

The problems are, first, the assumptions both substantive and procedural (methodological) of conventional economists, and secondly, the dominance of this approach in academic economics and also policy making circles.

Real-World Economics Review Blog
Denial of the public non-market system, and the consequences
Excerpted from June Sekera, “Missing from the mainstream: the biophysical basis of production and the public economy”, real-world economics review, issue no. 81, 30 September 2017, pp. 27-41, 

Friday, June 23, 2017

John T. Harvey — No Poor Need Apply: Four Reasons Why President Trump Is Wrong

Wednesday, President Trump uttered the following now widely-publicized statement regarding the top economic positions in his administration:
And I love all people, rich or poor, but in those particular positions, I just don’t want a poor person. Does that makes sense? Does that make sense?
While this has provided wonderful material for critics and satirists, are they really being fair? On the surface of it, there’s a certain logic to his statement. Shouldn’t those who have been the most successful in the economy also be the ones to offer advice?
Unfortunately, no. Here are four reasons why putting rich folks in charge is in no way a guarantee of superior economic performance:
Forbes — Pragmatic Economics
No Poor Need Apply: Four Reasons Why President Trump Is Wrong
John T. Harvey | Professor of Economics, Texas Christian University

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Neil Wilson — Running a Modern Money Economy

MMT is a description of the existing monetary system and its interaction with the production mechanisms. It takes a unique viewpoint that highlights opportunities that remain out of sight to traditional methods.
From this viewpoint comes a number of suggested policy proposals. So how do those proposals help keep things running smoothly?
Modern Money Matters
Running a Modern Money Economy
Neil Wilson

Monday, February 27, 2017

Andrea BrandolinI — Inequality and economics: Tony Atkinson’s enduring lessons

Sir Tony Atkinson, the doyen of inequality economics, passed away in January. This column, by a longstanding friend and co-author, outlines his contributions to the analysis and measurement of inequality – and many other areas of economics, including taxation, social protection, and the welfare state. The ultimate goal of Atkinson’s research was to translate economic analysis into policy actions: economics is a tool for understanding the world and taking informed decisions on policies, but economists must strive to communicate their results beyond the narrow circles of decision-makers, making them accessible for public discussion.
VOX.eu Andrea Brandolini | Head of Statistical Analysis Directorate, Bank of Italy

Wednesday, August 31, 2016

Noah Smith — Calling All Sociologists: America Needs You


Something I can agree with.
There are many more economists in the public sphere than sociologists. The president has a Council of Economic Advisers, but no Council of Sociological Advisers. Every presidential candidate has an economic team, but you never hear about a sociology team. There are government-run institutions like the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund and the Federal Reserve banks staffed with Ph.D. economists, but no such brain-trusts of sociologists.
In the media, economists such as Paul Krugman, my Bloomberg View colleague Tyler Cowen and others command large audiences and great intellectual respect. Nor are they unusual -- many economists blog, or write for important news outlets. As for sociologists, though a few do interact with the public -- for example, Tressie McMillan Cottom of Virginia Commonwealth University or Fabio Rojas of Indiana University-Bloomington -- most remain in the ivory tower.
That’s a shame, because, as Bloomberg reporter Brendan Greeley recently pointed out, more and more of America’s problems look sociological rather than economic.
It's a terrible mistake to see all issues as chiefly or exclusively economic, either in origin or solution.

What is a required is a system approach that is both trans-disciplinary (inclusive) and also meta-disciplinary (integrative). Economist Kenneth Boulding got this, for example, as did E. F. Schumacher. Karl Marx got it, too.

Here is what John Maynard Keynes had to say about it:
The study of economics does not seem to require any specialized gifts of an unusually high order. Is it not, intellectually regarded, a very easy subject compared with the higher branches of philosophy or pure science? An easy subject at which few excel! The paradox finds its explanation, perhaps, in that the master-economist must possess a rare combination of gifts. He must be mathematician, historian, statesman, philosopher—in some degree. He must understand symbols and speak in words. He must contemplate the particular in terms of the general and touch abstract and concrete in the same flight of thought. He must study the present in the light of the past for the purposes of the future. No part of man’s nature or his institutions must lie entirely outside his regard. He must be purposeful and disinterested in a simultaneous mood; as aloof and incorruptible as an artist, yet sometimes as near to earth as a politician. — J. M. Keynes "Alfred Marshall, 1842-1924" The Economic Journal, (Sept.,1924), 321-322
This goes not only for policy but also education. The disciplinary approach reflects the disjointed approach of methodological individualism that is fundamental to neoclassical based economics and the neoliberal political theory based on it. It's literally killing us.

Bloomberg View
Calling All Sociologists: America Needs You
Noah Smith

Sunday, May 8, 2016

Norm Mogil — Fiscal Policy to the Rescue?


It's the multipliers, stupid.
Not all fiscal stimuli act with the same degree of potency. Chart 2 separates the type of stimulus between " investment" and "tax" measures. The governments obtain the greatest bang for the buck when undertaking infrastructure projects, both for their immediate impact on jobs and income as well as for their longer term benefits in adding to productive capacity (e.g. urban transportation systems). Next in importance are stimulus programs generated by increasing government consumption of goods and services (i.e. day-to-day expenses associated with government operations).
Tax measures, on the other hand, have not proven to be anywhere nearly as effective in promoting growth. The impact of reductions in personal or corporate tax cuts are de minimis. Since some portion of a tax cut is usually saved rather than entering the spending stream, tax multipliers are lower than government spending multipliers.
Thus, economists have long urged governments to look to stepping up their capital investment activities as the primary driver of fiscal stimulus policy.
Sober Look
Fiscal Policy to the Rescue?
Norm Mogil

Wednesday, February 25, 2015

Ajay Shah — Become a public policy thinker in three easy steps

Step 1: What's the market failure?

When should the State intervene? The technically sound answer is: When you are certain there is a market failure, and when you are confident you know how to setup the correct State capacity for the intervention.

Market failures come in four kinds: 1. Asymmetric information, 2.externalities, 3. market power and 4. public goods. These are technical terms in microeconomics and each needs to be carefully understood.

The first hurdle that must be crossed in policy thinking is: "Is there a market failure?" Every proposal to do something in public policy faces this test.

Step 2: What's the proposed intervention?

Once we agree there is a market failure, we have to figure out what we'd like to do about it. Here, it's important to understand the anatomy of the market failure, and solve it at its root cause.

If there is a causal chain x -> y -> z, and there is a problem with the outcome z, don't use the power of the State to change y or z. Understand the root cause, and solve it there.…

Step 3: The hurdle of public administration

Okay, you are all dressed up and ready to go, with a demonstrated market failure, and a minimal intervention which solves it. Now the question arises: Can you design a feasible solution with real world public administration?
Ajay Shah
Become a public policy thinker in three easy steps
Ajay Shah | Co-Lead of the NIPFP-DEA Research Program, India

Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Medical MMT? Legal in Which States?

(Commentary posted by Roger Erickson)

Did you know that advertisers are now touting neuro-marketing as a powerful new marketing tool? For what? For selling more of whatever a producer wants to sell - of course.

Let's get straight to the biggest return, and circle back to review other, random uses of neuro-marketing after that.

Biggest Return. When will we apply this to public purpose, by tuning Public Policy to fit social-feedback?

Oh, maybe when we have mandatory, 100% voting, and no voting-process restrictions, at a minimum? Even that hasn't made politics in Australia much saner than ours here in the USA. Something more is needed?

Perhaps when P&G wants a box of MMT on every breakfast table? :(

Is there a better way? How do we skip over all the lame-brain, overly narrow applications of neuro-marketing tools?

Here's one, tongue in cheek, idea. Can someone declare MMT to be a non-toxic, group-brain-expanding, social-hallucinogen, so that we can get Philip Morris AND J&J (and all the F500/Russell3000/AFL/CIO) to promote Medical MMT? :)

Better yet, Social MMT, or simply Cultural Policy Agility.

Oh, Middle Class access to unlimited fiat will have to be "regulated" by "experts," of course. But heck, we're already DOING that, to protect citizens from excess exposure to their own fiat. So why not go cold fiat?
***
Now, more about neuro-marketing. So far, it's an example of a new micro-advertising tool run amok. It's use is not yet selectively scaling up to help more than hinder macro-public-policy. The initial applications ignore return-on-coordination, and instead non-selectively promotes blind scaling-up of any & all micro-processes by unregulated merchants wearing blinders. Does the following make sense to you, AFTER you stop and think about it?

If you can sell more of product A by tuning it's sales pitch to brain scans of consumers ... why, then we can ALL sell more of ALL products, by tuning ALL sales pitches to the moment of power in ALL citizen's brain scans! Right?

Sure, in theory. We'd just have to keep ALL of us completely intoxicated - or at least over stimulated - ALL of the time. This, ironically brain-dead initial use of neuro-marketing methods, of course, exhibits the ancient fallacy of scale test just indicated. Tools use of, by and for advertisers ... a dumb society makes.

That's no way to make a streamlined physiology, nor any way to make "a more perfect union" that is selective about how to be more - not just different - than the sum of it's human parts.

For comparison, if each of the 200 or so cell types in the human body acted as merchants, and self-promoted as aggressively as the initial neuro-marketing model suggests - without tolerance limits - then most of us might well end up as all toenails (or other, randomly promoted, sub-types) and no brains! We got past that, of course, over 200K years ago. There is, of course, a good reason why we're all recognizably streamlined human replicas, controlled by a brain, not by self-marketers from all our ~200+ cell types (or our 60+ organs).  When will our Constitution and Nation also progress past it's analogous stage, and get to systemic thinking rather than dissociated, hopelessly Libertarian thinking?
random-component-of-component
The usual difference between theory and practice inevitably crops up. The response of any system to an upward bias in the volume of ALL sensory input is to bias inherent filters so as to selectively damp the input bandwidth, and very selectively damp out irrelevant inputs. It's part of the general phenomenon - and endless list - of "recruitment" processes that drives Adaptive Rate. Human markets and human cultures have adaptive rates too, just as their smaller, sub-components (humans) do.

This particular description of neuro-marketing, of course, exhibits the fallacy of scale test indicated above. Once we have a collection of people, not just a collection of cells ... then the process of selection becomes dominated by social signals accumulating as feedback between people, not just the local feedback between neurons WITHIN individual brains.

Compared to the human body (30+Trillion cells, 200+ cell types, 60+ organs) what do we have in the aggregate we call the USA? Something a bit more fluid, that's what. Momentarily, we have ~320 million people, thousands of distinct professions (changing yearly), and also tens of thousands of distinct units (families, private aggregates, public aggregates - also changing daily-to-yearly).

So, can we skip all the random, and just promote Medical MMT as a dynamic solution to dynamic tasks requiring infinitely agile fiat? :)

That would only require using aggregate-option-marketing (aka, cultural recruitment), instead of just random-component-of-component (i.e., neuro) marketing.

If you can grasp the distinction, then you can also appreciate the distinction between pharmacology and medicine, and the distinction between individual-health-repair and public-health-maintenance. So why not skip all the way to our greatest looming challenge? General welfare and net capabilities of the people, not just of that subset - the uber-merchants - who by habit drift into thinking that they are more equal than the rest of us?


Saturday, October 12, 2013

Merijn Knibbe — Bill Mitchell and Joan Muysken on underemployment, macro-modelling and policy

Yesterday, I posted some graphs about underemployment in the EU, mainly to draw people’s attention to this important subject. The main takeaway:
Underemployment is high as well as cyclically sensitive.
And I stated that we should start to incorporate it in macro models. Well, Bill Mitchell and Joan Muysken are already doing this, I discovered. And incorporating underemployment in models turns out to make a large difference....
Real-World Economics Review Blog
Bill Mitchell and Joan Muysken on underemployment, macro-modelling and policy
Merijn Knibbe


Tuesday, August 6, 2013

Common Understanding Can Protect An Electorate's General Welfare - Only If That Electorate Is Motivated To Select Minimal Actions, Carefully

Commentary by Roger Erickson

John Hemington, long time advocate for the Middle Class, writes with a list of recent articles discussing things that most Americans don't know that they don't know.

Doctrine of Mathematical Impossibilities

Why Obama should pick Yellen to lead the Fed

Government: A much-maligned engine of innovation
  [Brilliant exploration of new ideas in business?]

Bradley Manning, Surveillance State Creep, and

The Next Way: The Emergence of Post-Constitutional America


Yes, John, these are all excellent points that should be discussed far more frequently by a supposedly informed electorate. The absence of these topics from most media underscore lack of thought on underlying public purpose. So here's my initial contribution, to help extend the needed conversation.

Regarding math. A nation's currency system is always created by the people, to denominate all the unpredictable transaction chains it may find need to see citizens execute. Such distributed options and agility flows, always, from policy agility - as a publicly mandated choice. The math only comes after the public purpose.

Yellen vs Summers? Such a choice! Is this a policy fraud hoisted by lobbyists? Why not "none of the above?" Who says there is no other alternative? TINA? Who's Tina? Bernays' publicist, or just another straw woman?

"Government" questioned as a source of innovation? This requires no brilliance whatsoever to discern. Our greatest threat is promotion of a Luddite ideology that denies this simple reality, since government of, for & by the people is both the polar opposite of fascism, and it's natural remedy as well. If we remind ourselves that government is never anything other than us, then it's obvious that teamwork in a social species always generates the highest returns and the most innovation. The best way to explore the return on coordination? Evaluate the options possible through teamwork? That's not rocket science. Just honesty.

On Bradley Manning. Ben Franklin nailed this over 200 years ago. "They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety."  https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Benjamin_Franklin

The next way? All the endless rhetoric here is mercifully summed up by Bill Black's reference to Jonathan Swift. "[Fraud is] a greater crime than theft. For .. care and vigilance, with a very common understanding, can protect a man’s goods from thieves, but honestly hath no fence against superior cunning. . . where fraud is permitted or connived at, or hath no law to punish it, the honest dealer is always undone, and the knave gets the advantage." 1726, Jonathan Swift
  [Note that fraud needn't even display superior cunning. It need only proceed unchecked. Keating, Greenspan, Rubin, Summers and Geithner proved that!]

These discussion points all converge to a summary point. Our current criminogenic environment starts as an ill-chosen public policy to reward a few at the expense of the whole. That policy also actively rewards the architects of public looting with further promotions to even higher public policy offices. End that policy, and we end a host of subsequent ills. With even a modicum of discussion, citizens may easily see that a vast amount of daunting activity may be easily replaced by a very few strategic actions, carefully selected to favor Public Purpose over public looting. The benefits of that return-on-coordination outweigh all other temptations, by far. All this is easy, but ONLY if we maintain a bias to carefully selected, minimal action.


Saturday, May 11, 2013

Amusing Essay on the Confluence of Discourse and Reality - It's Relevant to Public Policy

Commentary by Roger Erickson

"What if I get outed for who I am: an intellectual empty shell?"
Every profession is a conspiracy against the laity
The discussion goes on about opinion, certainty and doubt. This is apparently how literature majors approach evolution and network theory - i.e., top-down vs bottom-up.

The 2 groups eventually converge to similar concepts, yet cannot understand one another when they eventually arrive at the same thought! (Like Walter Shewhart said, data is meaningless without context. Turns out semantics is too!)

The top-down group doesn't understand abstract modeling and the bottom-up crowd doesn't appreciate the variance inherent in semantics (they both live in isolation from one another's context). Does that sound like the 1%-economists vs the 99%, or what?

1% to 99% - "To grow,  you must slim down enough to work harder (for us)."
99% to 1% - "To grow, we must first eat adequately. Quit hoarding all the food!"

Yes, it can help to hear opinions from the 1%. Yet it helps even more if everyone's opinions are informed of actual, ongoing operations - i.e.,. bottom-up details. Long term, only the 99% can survive, so always stick with the bottom-up side. That's the real meaning of supply-side economics, consumption drives supply. Opinion, like data and semantics, is meaningless without FULL context, which means all data, operations, opinions, inter-dependencies, and ongoing outcomes - all mixed together. There are a very FEW opinions (about 1%?) saying that we're running out of fiat. Fine. However there's far more variance in capitalism than anyone appreciates. Sample all the opinions before firming any of them.

Here's the abstract approach to all the literature semantics.  No component in any system is physically capable of mirroring all the data that defines that system, or that system's options. System options can only be explored, never exhausted, since multiple new options are spawned for every option explored! That's the Traveling Entrepreneur's Task. The only solution is endless practice - aka, we need EVERYONE'S opinion, and selection of novel patterns from that feedback, ASAP!

In literature terms, to help shape a culture of hundreds of millions of nitwits, it takes every form of storytelling imaginable, all at break-neck speed. Consider Chekov checked off. Now, given we have fiat, can we just get on with exploring all those group options that are piling up?