Showing posts with label currency operations. Show all posts
Showing posts with label currency operations. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 1, 2014

A Warning Sign: Three News Articles You Never Expect To See On The Same Day

   (Commentary posted by Roger Erickson)

And the timing with eerie artwork from The Nib? Spooky!




First, there's worrisome news:
We’ve killed off half the world’s animals since 1970
(Granted, WashPost journalists don't know WTF is vs isn't an "animal," or that humans are vertebrates too, but hopefully you get the picture. Mixing semantics & sophistry never effects coherent discourse, right?)

Second, this electorate's group brain is NOT even boarding at the station yet, so YES, we are in serious trouble:
Eric Holder WON'T Urge TBTJ Banks to Leave Transparent Backdoors for Public Financial Regulatory Agencies
Politicians & voters who THINK? About animals? And social species? And long term planning too? Not to mention transparency? Eric Holder? 

Don't mix oxymorons.  Oh well. We'll get a survive/fail grade someday, but it may be so tardi that only waterbears will be left to laugh at Holder's Folly.

Third, it's true, Maud, no one seems to care:
As Dark Money Floods U.S. Elections, Regulators Turn a Blind Eye
Is all this happening because we are voluntarily running out of fiat? Can enough citizens make the algebraic substitution of Public Initiative for currency operations? Why are most journalists and citizens not alarmed at our Deficit in Logical Discourse?

To find out, be sure to tune into the next episode of:
AS THE DAZED TURN
Will the last person left turn off the fiat when they leave? We wouldn't want the waterbears to run out.

ps: The answer is "plutocrats."





Thursday, January 9, 2014

Flaws In Our Policy Operations Run Far Deeper Than Just Neglected Currency Operations

   (Commentary posted by Roger Erickson)



We're 80 years on from the last time we significantly revamped fiscal policy operations, and a few economic ideologues are JUST beginning to punch their way out of a wet paper bag? All while selfishly preening, hogging the spotlight, and effectively demanding that 320 million people halt all public discourse and pay attention to their tiny voices?

No wonder there really IS a mind-boggling failure in situational awareness.

And yes, these ideologues are fully several paradigms behind the times.

Yet there's another, far deeper issue, that looms behind these symptoms. Our electorate itself is collectively so far behind that it doesn't even elect or listen to it's own, ample supply of pragmatic problem solvers. Only to it's preening ideologues.

There are so many issues and operations involved that no one can - or needs to - understand all of them. All we have to do is be willing to be pragmatic instead of ideological.

If none of us can be as smart as all of us, then for heaven's sake, just leverage all of us? This can be as easy as we choose to make it.

Our greatest need is to get the ideologues off the stage sooner, and get back to simply using ourselves? One tombstone at a time is obviously not enough. Not anywhere near!

Systemic change in personnel requires changing fundamental methods fast enough, which requires bringing in new personnel. It's circular. It doesn't matter where in the cycle change is initiated. Once the cycle is interrupted, it'll fix itself. What we need are more frequent upgrades, just as Tom Jefferson advised, over 200 years ago. So HOW do we DO this? To discover how, we need to get far more minds involved, from all disciplines, across all 50 states.

There is always a way. Yet everyone is discussing every possible detail, instead of focussing on finding a way to just bring more people to a Democracy fight.

BYOD? Bring yer own Democracy?

You don't bring preening plutocrats to a democracy fight. It just don't work.







Friday, September 20, 2013

In Case You'd Like To Know What Your US Congress Is Up To, Regarding Currency Operations

Commentary by Roger Erickson

(hat tip to Tom Paine II)
Hearing entitled “The Fed Turns 100: Lessons Learned over a Century of Central Banking”

Wednesday, September 11, 2013 2:00 PM in 2128 Rayburn HOB

Monetary Policy and Trade

Click here for the Archived Webcast of this hearing.

Click here for the Committee Memorandum.
Witness List

Sure looks like a case of inviting more than one biased witness to a US House of Representatives committee that's already been told what they're supposed to hear ... by their campaign donors.


Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Dallas Fed - seems to have a heart for the Middle Class .. doesn't fully grasp Fiat Currency Operations. Can We Work With This?

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Dan Flemming has compiled a representative list of statements from Richard Fisher (see at bottom) that seem to oppose official Fed policy, and wonders if Fisher's appointment in Texas reflects regional politics ... or a pre-emptive move influenced by outsiders, to keep the Dallas Fed divided and conquered?

It's a provocative question. I'll ignore the conspiracy aspects as something not usefully answerable, and instead ask if Middle Class pragmatists can leverage Richard Fisher's momentum? Can we treat these events as one of many options for pursuing meaningful Public Purpose?

The Dallas Fed under Fisher does seem to have a heart for the Middle Class, even if Fisher himself doesn't fully understand currency operations. Can we work with that? It sure seems worth a try. Unfortunately, we live in an epoch where even 1 out of 2 looks real attractive. :(

One view is that Fisher seems to represent the oil & other industrial lobby, more than the Wall St. lobby. Such variance is to be expected of regional Fed offices.

Can such variance be used to divide and conquer the TBTJ banking lobby?

Possibly. Politics is the USA is still a recruitment and mobilization process. Many people have been predicting an eventual showdown between the F500 and the cowboy financiers who USED to work for them. Ironically, the "cowboys" are no longer in Texas, and flat out have unlimited access to (and control of?) OUR fiat currency. Yet the F500 lobby can still put far more people in the streets. Wall St knows - or should know - that they can't win an actual democratic confrontation, just yet. Might they get trigger happy though, and a bit reckless?

Meanwhile, the US Middle Class may feel a bit like the average family in Syria ... caught as minor pawns being fought with, and over, by self-styled Great Power lobbies. Could the US Middle Class actually organize, and act forcefully in their own interests? Coherently? And adaptively? Why not? It requires only the 5 classic steps of campaign organization.

1) Consensus on a shared, accurately visualized, Desired Outcome worth achieving.

2) Enough interaction to achieve alignment of efforts to the common goal.

3) Maintaining enough interaction to maintain alignment (the harder part).

4) Build up training and practice at organizational momentum (team improvement).

5) Figure out changing ways to usefully ASSESS changing measures of changing progress. GDP just ain't cutting it. Only agile, common sense reliably generates success through any changing context, but we've been convinced - by diverse Luddite idealogues - to NOT use common sense.


Where could we start? With one, simple rallying cry?

Rich peoples war, poor families' blood? Real as well as nominal.

Same old story.

So what will happen? Will some "political assassination" [of some Biz Duke Ferdinand] trigger another all out war between our masters and their masters? And are WE dumb enough to get up on stage and do the re-enactment for either or both sides .... yet again?  Really?

Or, can the Middle Class nominally "belonging" to both US political parties surprise everyone, make their own deal and union, and throw ALL da bums out? One and all? Like we threw out King George? Why not? Today seems as good a time as ever, now that even the Nobel Prize Committee is taken over by Control Frauds using Liars Loans to pre-dispense prizes without any documentation whatsoever - and despite subsequent evidence to the contrary. Shouldn't we start directing our own investments in our own cultural future? Why don't we just foreclose on the Control Fraud political mortgage? Call in our own notes and repossess our democracy? It could easily happen. None of us is smarter than all of use, but ONLY if all of us are smart enough to actually put our heads together, by any means possible.

This time we don't even need to wait on a "traitor to class" like Teddy or Franklin Roosevelt. We can just send one of our own. Outsource the distateful job to ourselves. Face it, the vast majority of both Wall St and Washington DC could be run by Automatic Stabilizer, as simply as a cell-phone app.

Android for President? :) A succession of Siri's as "it's" running mate - or one night subscription plans? The Stepford Plans? Swap Open Farce for OpenSource? It could be even more mundane than gay marriage. Better yet, it could leave us all with more free time to do insanely interesting things, rather than acting unemployed for those currently hoarding all OUR fiat in insanely boring ways.

Is continuous cultural marriage an institution ... reserved for a continuously changing, ever more perfect union between Middle Class and diversity? I could vote for that.

There are more "points of flickering light" to leverage than just the Dallas Fed and Richard Fisher, but these and all other flickers are things which agile, American ingenuity can embrace and extend, and then use, as we guide ourselves through all the Control Fraud shadows.

****

Dallas Fed Statements in Opposition to Fedspeak
   (nothing the MMT community hasn't been saying for 17 years - nor Marriner Eccles 80 years ago, but it represents tangible momentum we can align with)

June 26 2013
"I implore the members of this important committee and the Congress to not succumb merely to the illusion of hope. Don't listen to the siren song of the megabanks and their lobbyists. Take action to deal with the unfair advantages that these institutions enjoy… Leveling the playing field is a just cause for 99.8 percent of American banks and for all Americans."

May 16, 2013
http://dallasfed.org/news/speeches/fisher/2013/fs130516.cfm

March 16, 2013
"The aim of our three-step proposal is simple: All banks would be subject to the same regulatory oversight—and most important, they all would be subject to the market discipline exercised by owners and creditors."

January 16, 2013
"... we recommend that TBTF financial institutions be restructured into multiple business entities."

"... a proposal to end the problem of too-big-to-fail banks by rolling back government guarantees so that they apply only to the commercial banking business of mega-banks."

"Without a budget deal, the cheap money the Fed has made available will not be put to use ... Until then, I argue that the Fed is, at best, pushing on a string and, at worst, building up kindling for speculation”

A Break Away from Wall Street Leadership
http://www.cnbc.com/id/101022718
http://www.dallasfed.org/research/eclett/2013/el1307.cfm


"If the effects of the crisis are permanent, the path of consumption observed since 2007 suggests that the cost of the crisis may be more than double the $6 trillion to $14 trillion estimate" ... ... Some of the numbers the central bank branch cites are startling: a loss of 8.7 million nonfarm payroll jobs; a peak of 14.7 million unemployed, labor underutilization that remains "intractably high" and 10.6 million underemployed.

Tuesday, September 3, 2013

The Grand Touring AggDemand Test for Fiat Intelligence.

Commentary by Roger Erickson

I'm hereby proposing the Eccles/Mosler Grand Touring AggDemand Tests for Fiat Intelligence.

Test #1: If you removed all dates, names and locations from a spoken version of this text ... could the reader tell whether he's talking to Marriner Eccles 80 years ago, or Warren Mosler today?

Test #2: If the same text is read aloud to a "trained" economist, and their head doesn't explode ... are they candidates to understand fiat currency operations instead of of just orthodox economic ideology?

That's one way to find intelligent economists, one tombstone at a time! :)


Why? 'Cuz Larry Summers & Robert Rubin Will Bugger Everyone BUT Themselves!

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Royalty don't prosecute royalty? Bugger that!

Drug agents plumb vast database of call records

Really. So why can't the SEC/FDIC/FED/FBI/DoJ/NSA

..................... COMBINED! ...................

catch a SINGLE significant White Collar Criminal?

What's that? Larry Summers says smart people don't let themselves get buggered?

What, exactly, is he calling us? DAs? 

Or just innocent victims, like Charles Keating? Certainly the former, 'cuz Larry Summers guaranteed that it'll be different this time, and he delivered! Along with Rubin and Greenspan. Their reward to themselves was the Middle Class' lunch. Now he wants your Social Security too, NOT just your lifelong FICA taxes.

Larry Summers, the Bugger King, peddles yet another whopper.

hat tip @AP @Austerity_Sucks

Sunday, September 1, 2013

Warren Mosler's Soft Currency Economics

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Not to be missed. Please forward this far and wide.


Nominate Obama for a Nobel Fleece Prize!!!

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Quick, before he goes legit!

Assad Reveals He’s a Bank CEO: 
...  Obama Ends Threats, Bails Out Syria & Grants Immunity

I would like to accurately label this type of humor for what it is .... but it's unfortunately not politically correct* to do so.

Let's just call it culturally correct humor?

* In related news, Larry Summers reveals he's dictator of a 3rd world economy. MICC ends opposition to his Fed candidacy, and offers unlimited foreign aid, mostly military. :)  Is it still ethnic humor if the joke's on us, and it's not funny?


Our Central Planners Think That THEY own OUR Fiat?

Commentary by Roger Ericksn

The Sad State Of Consumer Income

This is a very useful article by Steve Hansen, detailing ongoing reality in ways that even Jane and & Joe Sixpack should comprehend.

In short, we're crash dummies being run into a wall of orthodoxy.

Public statistics are looking a bit grim.
  Yet if you look more closely .... it's much worse!
    And if you look EVEN closer ... it's far worse than that!!
(How many are already afraid to look closer?)

What can be done? Private prison industries? Divert Aggregate Demand to  ....  Aggregate Remand? We can't afford to exercise fiat ... unless that initiative is directed at constraining the untrained initiative of under-educated, under-trained, under-employed citizens?  ??  Let me TRY to get my head around this.

Most ... of .. our ...  initiative ... is  .... spent ... by ... dwindling numbers of Central Planners (the 0.1%) ... on .... bizarre endeavors driven by twisted thinking?

Why, now that I've dragged it out of myself, that's the only statement that's made sense all year!!!

Our Central Planners think THEY own OUR fiat?

Their concerted initiative has deprived us of ours? How is that possible? It's a policy choice. One that "works" for us ... until we decide it doesn't.  Can some more of us PLEASE make a decision? An adaptive one?

How tragically silly. And ironic. We're unleashing weapons of cultural self-destruction right here in River City? If the NeoCons can't see it, they must be hiding it from themselves.

Two questions for Americans.

1) If we don't completely re-evaluate how we do functional public education in the USA, what will happen to our descendants?

2) And even if we re-invent K-12 education, will even that matter .... if we don't find a way to gracefully re-invent all of our currently failing governance institutions?


Besides currency operations, how many things which we learned in the 1930s - or since - have we simply not bothered to tell enough of us? Will we start communicating stuff that matters more often? Will we listen? Or are we all closet OldneoCons, hiding emerging reality from ourselves ... and our kids - to no avail?



Friday, August 30, 2013

These Are Disturbing Claims - With Implications For Our Nation's Cultural Kinetics

Commentary by Roger Erickson

"Over the past 20 years, Americans and Europeans have quietly gone about destroying these [economic] facts."
                                                 ---
" In a few short decades the West undercut 150 years of legal reforms that made the global economy possible."  
Hernando de Soto

While de Soto may have missed the actual causality, he was accidentally right about the outcomes.

It is "sustained economic development that leads to pressure from emerging businesses and individuals for more secure [human] rights."
Milford Bateman [in a comment]

So social stability follows distributed Aggregate Demand, bottom-up? Who knew? :)

Nevertheless, the outcomes de Soto mentioned are, indeed, disturbing claims which certainly cloud our understanding of our present context. How are we to proceed, to map and master this context?

One standard rule for contingency management is to follow the 3I's,
Instigation (causality),
Intercept (intermediary agents)
Impact (surviving the moment).


Impact? In the case of domestic impact of things already hitting home, we're being saved primarily by Automatic Stabilizers, mostly enacted ~80 years ago. These are now under attack, as ~40% of our own citizens are routinely brainwashed into voting for policies which are clearly self-destructive.

Intercepting the agents promoting our most self-destructive propaganda? I'm not sure we're yet close to holding our own against the Koch Bros, Robert Rubin, Hank Paulson et al.

Instigation or causality? It is in that topic that the most information is being published, but, ironically the lowest population penetration is being achieved. It's a rare Jane or Joe Sixpack indeed who knows what MMT or Control Fraud means, or even that there are other beers NOT named Budweiser! We're stockpiling situational commentary, but the bulk of the population is still being diverted and distracted from orienting to these messages, for a variety of reasons, both active and passive.

Leaving response methodology aside, briefly, let's try to assess our situation, in order to evaluate our need for light, medium or heavyweight contingency-management tools and efforts.

How dire is our circumstance? It depends on an accurate assessment of both Adaptive Demand and our ability to scale up adequate responses on-demand. Americans have always been confident of their ability to construct as well as cross a bridge once they come to a challenge. However, what happens if we can't even build a bridge in time? If we don't pay attention to our metaphorical bridge-building capabilities, that time will surely come sooner, rather than later!

How are all our metaphorical bridge-building capabilities, i.e., what is our Adaptive Rate? Can we even measure it? How would we make a formal assessment?

In every field there is a constant ebb and flow of methodological excellence, in response to crisis, and intervening lack of Adaptive Demand. That is to be expected.

However, when Adaptive Demand returns in force. What Adaptive Rate can we muster when a context strikes? Whether we can adjust and adapt to new and unpredictable demands as fast as is needed ... or whether "Rome" will again fall, is always an open question.

When the first Rome fell, Darwin's theories on evolution and Adaptive Rate had not been explicitly published - although they may have been implicitly acknowledged by many, in many disciplines.

In terms of the factors determining whether the USA will or won't fall, are we any closer because Darwin published his explicit analyses?

Or, is our group context large enough, and changing fast enough, that it doesn't matter how much an insufficient number of citizens know?

There are no explicit expressions of either Adaptive Rate or Central Planning among known Roman-era literature. However, the many Greek and early Roman essays explicitly about Democracy versus Tyranny indicates that they were well aware of the relative strengths and weaknesses.

All this is likely to give some readers a distinctly uneasy feeling ... that few principles governing our social situation have changed in the last 2000 years. That despite all the details that have changed.

We're left with at least 3, key questions.

1) Are enough US citizens aware of our net context to adequately manage it's future course? Or are we as a nation flying blind?

2) Even if there are enough concerned citizens, are they possessing AND SHARING cultural-assessment tools adequate for guiding adaptive group actions that can address their growing concerns?

3) And even if we do have both adequate group intelligence AND adequate cultural self-assessment tools ... are we practicing enough to be able to meet looming demands when they arrive?

Our sorry history with the demise of Glass-Steagall, the subsequent MICC mis-adventures, and the ongoing TBTJ mortgage banking fraud and bailout all suggest that the opposite is occurring. As every challenge bigger than the S&L crisis has loomed, the USA has actively prepared to put it's tail between it's legs and run in a mal-adaptive direction.* 

Where did most of the citizens go when Rome fell? Where should we be planning to go to? Is there anywhere to go, other than drawing a line in our own, domestic sandbox, and fighting for progress rather than accepting regression?


How different is this from past national policy crises during your lifetime?

And are we improving or reducing our ability to adjust ... or even treading water?

Can we even assess things well enough to tell? Does our electorate still have the motivation to even want to?


* The Fed honchos, of course, claim that they are baffled and befuddled by the behavior of banks and hedge funds.  No wonder Jane & Joe prefer another sixpack.


Thursday, August 29, 2013

Dearius Merritt & Also The NYCC Are My Heroes! YOU GO DEARIUS!!!

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Crossing that fateful line, back to morality.

Dearius Merritt, a striking Church’s Chicken assistant manager in Memphis, Tenn., .. described fast food workers in his city as “fed up.”

“They’re tired of coming to work and having to work eight hours, nine hours, and them coming home and they can barely provide for their kids,” he said. When asked whether he was afraid of retaliation from management, he shrugged the question off, saying, “It’s bigger than me and it’s bigger than the workers that are standing up. It’s not just going to help my generation, it’s going to help the next generation that’s going to come, and the generation after that.”


[Face it, you've NEVER heard Hank Paulson utter such words. Nothing's bigger than his ego ... or his pocketbook of illicit gains.]

.......

While the fast food movement has received some assistance from traditional union outfits - with the large Service Employees International Union acting as a particularly key supporter - it has never relied entirely on established channels for labor organizing. The very first fast food workers strike, which occurred in late November, was put together in large part by the community group New York Communities for Change. Subsequent strikes have received crucial support from grassroots progressive groups, churches, and other non-union institutions.


.......

ps: The 1% lobby is already at work here, getting in a dig at supposedly failed unions. However, a look at the AFL-CIO's site shows that they've been covering the strike efforts since their planning stages, and urging union members of all stripes to either boycott the targeted establishments and/or not cross picket lines.

ps: These efforts are all NECESSARY, but none will be SUFFICIENT, if they don't also co-tune all points of a culture's agility spectrum - tools, tactics, strategies, policies, goals and desired outcomes. At least we now have a beachhead.

ps: ps: ps: Note that "people did get together"
can others besides the most oppressed also "get together" ?
     when?

Do The Suicidal Have An Exit Strategy?

Commentary by Roger Erickson

There is a class warfare and the [Middle Class] is not winning

Isn't class war analogous to Organ War, where the brain has placed a tourniquet around the neck, and the body is losing? :( [As an aside: What would a cultural face-palm signal look like? Please send your suggestions. Can we still muster the cultural bloodflow to signal one to ourselves?]

Instead of focusing on the trivial social-tourniquet question and the trivial answer, let's focus on the audience which must even ask this question of itself, and why it's stuck asking the same old, self-obvious question.

Saying is not the same as being heard. The accurate statement of the old Marketing Rule is that a message has to be RECEIVED 12 times - on average - before it registers with a resident. We have ~315 million residents in the USA alone. Be honest. What's the desired outcome that matters more than all others in this campaign - and what methods are needed to even take a step in that direction? Does 10% of the US electorate understand enough Civic Operations, Political Operations and Currency Operations to even make sense of their collective context?

Hence, don't be surprised that Bill Mitchell is fighting an uphill battle, still trying to get a 6000 year old message heard by an adequate proportion of people. Our population growth rate has ALWAYS outraced our self-knowledge propagation methods.  We keep growing team-size faster than we can perfect team coordination.

Human populations are ALWAYS a context late and a paradigm behind. 

Real things change, folks, so yesterday's adequately real metric is totally nominal, virtual and outmoded today. We just have to keep our civic awareness within striking distance of reality, not necessarily spot on. How do we know when we're failing, and it's time for a version upgrade? When our policy institutions start to become academic jokes?

Before delving into potential methods to use, don't we need to settle on the capabilities we want to achieve? Where are we, where do we want to go, and only then how to get there from here?  Since those all keep changing, what should we focus on?  Most critically, adaptive cultural evolution means keeping an electorate and policy apparatus that can and does ADJUST just fast enough to chase faint survival paths. The path keeps disappearing, so just keep finding the path. Maintain group agility and maneuverability. This ain't rocket science.

That should be obvious to anyone who ever stops to actually think. Unfortunately, we teach - and allow - students to do everything EXCEPT that.

It's no wonder we maintain an electorate that keeps their eyes on everything except our own, emerging OUTCOMES!

Have some of our policy institutions become a total joke? Witness this twitter exchange, then decide for yourself.


@wonkmonk_ @SFFedReserve vasilis @v_vasilopoulos23m 
What Caused the Decline in Long-term Yields? 
Overall? I'd say a long-term decline in Group Intelligence. 
Fiat opinions may vary.

@rgeOps - @wonkmonk_ @SFFedReserve @v_vasilopoulos 
We NEED a long term "yield" from fiat. 
Fine. 
Should it be denominated in real or nominal terms?











Wednesday, August 28, 2013

"Have Growing Team, Won't Use It" Produces "Have Group Fiat, Won't Use It"

Commentary by Roger Erickson

And people ridiculed William Vickrey! He was nearly the only sane one, for decades! Along with Warren Mosler, and JK Galbraith, and Lerner, and Kalecki, etc, etc - not to mention Marriner Eccles. These are all people who knew that economic policy was too important to be left to the economists - orthodox economists who flat out ignore real operations on the ground ... in their own training, education and ideological practice.

What went wrong? What are we still doing wrong?

Logic and awareness of operational reality is clearly never our main impediment. Some people in every aggregate always know what the group needs to attend to. Rather, our #1 problem seems to be stubbornness in refusing to listen to all of ourselves, refusing to acknowledge inter-dependencies outside our personal specialty, and - if we are forced to acknowledge them - calling them irrelevant "externalities" instead.

Can that hurdle be overcome? Of course it can. Homo Sapiens has been meeting and exceeding that task for ~200K years! It just takes preparation, training and constant practice - on a scale larger than anything we've done before. Yet that's what humans do. In fact, it's all we've ever done. Why stop now?  We need everyone to participate in calling everyone's attention to things they actively do NOT want to know, if left in isolation. Our chief hurdle is, at heart, a social recruitment task. Learning to organize on a larger scale, every year, every generation. The only alternative is suicide, and we've supposedly made that illegal. :(

How do we recruit and convince enough of ourselves to maintain an adequate rate of re-sampling the full - and always enlarging - spectrum of changing contexts, so as to maintain awareness of emerging options?

Many historical precedents are available for your evaluation. To avoid prejudicing further discussion any further, I'll mention only two, .
  Keep everyone busy exploring all options. (full employment)
  Provide everyone time to analyze & communicate, not just work. (30 hour work week?)

Our issue is not just "Have Group Fiat, Won't Use It." More accurately, that flaw flows from failure to address a deeper need: "Have Growing Team, Won't Use It."

Here's an example of transitioning from initial statement to a recruiting message.

“The great increase in longevity has produced a surge in the desire to accumulate assets for retirement. It has outpaced the ability of the private sector to produce assets, so we need a larger government debt.” - William Vickrey

Unfortunately, even Vickrey neglects the simple semantics that trip up Jane and Joe Sixpack, and slow their recruitment (~150 million in the USA alone!, and another 150 million students in training - there's no time to waste). He's stuck on initial statement in non-portable jargon.

However, if you replace the above with something like the text below, you have a potentially portable message, that ~150 million adults might follow. PLEASE! Feel free to suggest 1001 different ways to get everyone from 4th graders on down to economists to understand this dynamic systems issue. Whatever rephrasing you suggest, WE'LL NEED THEM ALL! Tomorrow. No, make that TODAY!! By COB. Certainly before COE (collapse of economy).

“The great increase in average lifespan has - initially - produced a surge in the desire of distributed individuals to accumulate personal assets for personal retirement. However, distributed hoarding is not what social species excel at. 
Consequently, the initial, personal desire to ramp up distributed hoarding of static assets has outpaced the ability of distributed populations to both produce and hoard enough static assets.  

It is, however, quite simple - through accumulation of the dynamic asset of teamwork - for a growing population to meet and exceed all the emerging needs of a growing population of children, adults and elderly alike. It's the return on coordination that counts the most. That return is the only thing that exceeds all mounting costs, including the cost of coordination. 

To grow as a nation, we therefore need steadily increasing public investment - aka, "fiat," simply DENOMINATED as fiat currency numerals - to meet the steadily increasing demand for adequate personal income throughout a growing population executing increasingly more, better, faster and leaner economic transactions.
Calling that public investment in ourselves, our children & our later descendants a purely virtual "debt" to ourselves is not just broken semantics, it is useless and counterproductive sophistry."



Tuesday, August 27, 2013

Fiat Debt Limit Again? Is This A Sign Of The End Times?

Commentary by Roger Erickson

US faces mid-October deadline to raise debt limit

I sincerely wish it would end. It's getting as bad as radio or tv commercials.

Isn't this the 12th time we've heard this message, in recent memory? Who's paying the advertising bill for this campaign?

Let me get this straight, the issuer of a fiat currency is in "danger" of not being able to issue fiat? ...  Uh, .... how is one supposed to respond ... to something that disorienting?  Do you just back away slowly?  Or relieve the derelict of their duty, on the spot?

I'm losing track, what's the difference between:

fiat debt limit ... & ... FUD bet Luddite?

Seriously, you have to wonder how long Socrates listened to Sophists say that HIS dog, which was a mother, was therefore HIS mother ... before 'ol Soc got tired of the inane BS, kicked 'em in the arse, and threw 'em bodily out of the lecture hall!

Seriously folks, we got a country to run here.  And, a half-starved Middle Class to resuscitate. We ain't got time for this.

There are limits to listening to nonsense from Sophist Luddites. Surely 12x is an acceptable limit ... in one month? Even in 3 generations!



Monday, August 26, 2013

Saving Fiat In Order To Have Fiat?

Commentary by Roger Erickson

That's the same as forgoing public initiative, in order to get some? [See excerpt below, from Warren Mosler's 1993 essay.]

How was such a preposterous proposition EVER taken seriously? Only because people will do anything in their power to avoid thinking?

The lunacy of applying gold-std thinking to a fiat currency regime was pretty much implied - and even explicitly explained AND DEMONSTRATED - by Marriner Eccles post 1933.  Not to mention Beardsley Ruml in 1946, and Abba Lerner and Michael Kalecki - 1940-1950. Actually, even by John Law, ~1700 and Benjamin Franklin, 1723!

What does the Middle Class have to do? Storm the Bastille-Ivory-Towers? Must ideology be guillotined, to draw even semi-equal attention to operational reality?

All credit to Warren Mosler for many further clarifications about fiat currency operations (see below), but he just wasn't born with a silver spoon in his mouth. Nor has he (like Greenspan, Geithner, Larry Summers & Obama) sold his soul to Charles Keating & Robert Rubin et al, and his country down the river.

Also, wider dissemination of Warren's clear, operational views would be helped by cross-discipline translation of specific, semantic terms into consistent forms that Jane and Joe Sixpack can easily follow.

  Savings today:      largely means hoarding of fiat currency.
  Investment today: largely means investment of fiat currency.
  Personal income today: local acquisition of fiat currency by currency users.
  Federal spending today: Currency creation by a fiat currency issuer.
  Federal income today:   Federal claw-back of previously issued fiat currency.
  Fiat: has always been another word for initiative, individual or public.
  Fiat currency: one expression of public initiative, or public fiat.

Once the semantics are defined, of course it's clear that investing fiat (public initiative) does not depend upon prior saving of public initiative (fiat). In fact, that proposed sequence constitutes a nonsensical oxymoron. Our simple task is to right-size our national currency supply AND ITS DISTRIBUTION, by both avoiding either inflation or deflation AND simultaneously, constantly improving the quality of distributed decision-making. 

PT Barnum wouldn't be proud of the intelligence or morals of our current electorate and the the politicians they select - but he would applaud the brazen audacity with which they bamboozle themselves through lack of thinking.

***********

From: Warren Mosler

Taken from 'Soft Currency Economics', Originally Published 1993.

That was 20 years ago and the same error persists!!! :(

How the Government Spends and Borrows as Much as it Does Without Causing Hyperinflation

***********

Plus, also see Freedom from National Debt, recommended by Warren Mosler



Continuous Development Of Our Own Further Development

Commentary by Roger Erickson

"Just Grow Stories" - or - Continuous Development Of Our Own Further Development

This may range to far outside their arthropomorphic limits to be of interest to orthodox (or worse) economists, so it's published at OpenOperations Forum.









Pinhead Politics Squeezes Little Additional LifeBlood From A Comatose Middle Class

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Politics. Another Industry That Is More Trouble Than It Is Worth?

Eighty years ago, Marriner Eccles explained that issuing fiat is even more important than simply personally using it. Going further, Warren Mosler has for years repeated the message that big finance - the glorification of using vs generating public initiative - is an industry that is more trouble than it is worth.

The same certainly now seems to be true of most aspects of politics. Rather than continuously, and artfully, building the general welfare of the people, politics in the USA has descended into a pit of dogs bickering over the dwindling economic bones of our neglected Middle Class. Is any current political office holder demonstrating that generating statesmanship is more important than simply locally using pork-barrel politics? None that I know of!

Take this example. Please!

From the FRONT PAGE of the Sunday, Aug 2, 2013 print edition of the Washington Post comes this article, by reporter David Fahrenthold. "Budget battles win little [fiat] savings"*

The gist of the article is that a growing nation, despite all efforts at self-assisted suicide, is .... get this ... refusing to die! And, it might actually eke out a bit of growth! Let's hope that the orthodox economists don't notice the faint beeps still wafting from the Middle Class heart monitor. They might pull the remaining Middle Class Life Support ... to save ... WHAT?

Well, seems they're intent upon saving fiat. Yes, it's that same old story. By self-strangulation, holding the country's economic breath 'til the nation turns blue, shooting various social feet, and having our culture sit on it's arse in the evolutionary road ... some morons expect that we will save up enough unused public initiative to buy ourselves a breather.

You could not make this up.

If we don't just die, we may die laughing at the oafs promoting themselves as leaders! It's as though a political artery has burst and Congress has been deprived of a critical flow of common sense. Thereby leaving half the street paralyzed and Wall-ed off, while the Main side of the street attempts to drag the dead weight around as a senseless burden.

And what is the response in the cognitively deprived zone? From there, there are new calls to make the self-assisted social suicide "Bi-Partisan." That's right. Their call is for all sides to jump in and help shoot more economic feet, faster. Citizens, hear - or throw - them out! Their message is that if you see some traitor expressing personal initiative ... execute a citizens arrest and STOP THEM, before it's too late! They might use up all our public initiative?

Ok, for the sake of humor, let's assume reality is insanity, and insanity reality. So what is their beef in this Washington Post article? They're asking why this problem not going away? Why won't our economy die? Comically - and consistent with their theme so far - they supply a common sense answer to an insane question. "Most of the people who came in saying, ‘We’re going to change Washington,’ simply didn't understand Washington,” said Steve Bell, a longtime Republican staffer who now works at the Bipartisan Policy Center."

Is that a fact! Who says there aren't drolls in DC?

They admit they don't know how Washington works? How about how all the other things in this universe work? Might it be easier to list on one hand anything that these morons DO understand the working of?

"But even now, the government still spends a vast amount of [fiat currency]." 

You don't say! You have to admit, they're really on a droll.

As an analogy, have any of these wits noticed, even now, that their own insentient corpse still exhales a vast amount of carbon dioxide? Where do they think all that carbon comes from. It doesn't just grow on trees, they know. :( 
[Yes. It's heart wrenching to even have these inane discussions with US citizens. Zombie a-pork-olypse may be the ONLY thing keeping the USA alive at this point - simply for lack of any sentient motivation. Oddly, our biggest example of Aggregate Demand may be the growing need to establish nursing homes for deranged political analysts.]

Ok, I'll beat my head against their brick wall. And why is it- genius - that our nation is still expending public initiative, i.e., fiat? Why is our public spending commensurate with the size of a nation struggling to grow? "It is still so big primarily because Congress and Obama have largely failed to deal with programs such as Medicare, Social Security and food stamps."

That's right. You knew it was coming.

Their message: if there's a sociological process still functioning, kill it! If these idiots were clinicians, they'd be searching for signs of blood flow, respiration, kidney function and synaptic activity in order to stop them before the patient ran out of personal initiative. It's as though people have gone mad, and been placed in control of schools of government! Would we place the homicidally deranged in control of our Medical Schools? What is going on in this country?

"It’s that old problem of concentrated benefits with diffuse costs." What? They're letting their own looting strategy be used as a defense for self-assisted suicide of anyone left un-looted? Let's get this straight. We shouldn't let any concentrated benefit to the Middle Class cause any diffuse detriment to the 1%? Are they mocking us, along with themselves? Or just being such a black hole of density that no logic can escape the null of their irrationality field?

And, as a sign of the End Times, the Washington Post author trots out a chilling statistic. The sum of all accumulating Federal Regulations is longer than the King James Bible!!! I'm just going to let that one lie in whatever field the King decreed it be found.

Is there a moral to this story? Best one I can find is this. The moral of this Washington Post frontpage story is that David Fahrenthold and his ilk have no morals, and no brains left functioning either.

Magna dum Flawed?

ps: David Farenthold, originally of Houston, Tx, quotes one Rep. Blake Farenthold (R., Tx). You don't suppose they're related? Surely the reporter would say, one way or another?

ps: ps: Does this article illustrate that corporate news media is also an industry that is more trouble than it is worth - at least to our nation?

* Is this is an example of the new editorial direction the Post will take, under ownership of Jeff Bezos?






Friday, August 23, 2013

When Will Robert Rubin and Larry Summers Come Clean, and Admit 1% Use of PEPs?

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Brauny guys have come clean about PED*, and Weilly guys have admitted that PEP** was a mistake. So how long can Rubin and Summers shirk morality and continue operating a virtual LieStrong Self-Charitable Foundation?

Never heard of PEP? Surely you had to wonder how skinny-moral guys suddenly end up flexing so much fiat?

You surely can't argue that an entire nation's fiat was in their gene tree, no matter where they landed, or which tree they fell out of.

And what is it all for? Why do we exalt myosin blobs and megalomania sacs? Does the group intelligence of a nation really circle striated muscle tissue, or even hoarded public initiative? Both could be put to work on a greater variety of desired public outcomes. What happened to our sense of NEW adventure and BIGGER vistas to conquer? Forget "Land Ahoy!" We're on to "Dynamic Group Options Ahoy!!!"

Seriously. How dumb do WE think that WE are? Why even bother deluding ourselves? There are many things that feel briefly enticing, but don't remain so for long. It's clearly more productive to be far more selective about our choices - both physical and social. We're easily smart enough to do that, and only need to put in more time and effort on the democracy training field.

So. Was Ruinomics all dependent upon PEP, even if only used by ~1% of the electorate?

Thursday, August 22, 2013

Orienting Group Intelligence To Scale-Dependent Inter-Dependencies

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Why does this topic keep coming up? Because it seems to be one of our rate-limiting hurdles to pursuing return on coordination.

As an example, Bill Mitchell writes that "mainstream economics is defunct, and we should decommission teaching programs throughout the world and introduce new progressive approaches."

That's always somewhat true, of all disciplines. The concepts of group adjustment, cultural agility, national evolution and national Adaptive Rate all lead, inevitably, to consideration of the tempo for introducing such changes.

And, a similar concept is being heard from people in many, of not most, disciplines?

The whole world seems to be seeing what Max Planck noted back circa 1905.
[No idea whether he was the 1st to express this.]

Much of the difficulty in reconciling scale-related axioms arises from CONFUSING MICRO-SCALE WITH MACRO-SCALE INTER-RELATIONSHIPS.

Specialists - in all disciplines - keep demonstrating that uniquely different properties are expressed at every scale of every type of organization. Yet the bulk of most electorates don't hear or fully absorb this simple message.

One corollary is that we have zero predictive power. But seemingly unlimited adaptive power!

Perhaps that is a topic we would do well to better DEMONSTRATE to all kids. Say, by age 10, if not before. After all, how are we to accelerate the rate of our own cultural autocatalysis, without recognizing and fully appreciating the impact of scale-dependent inter-dependencies?

Perhaps that simple step would better prepare citizens entering all emerging disciplines, and make them more comfortable facing a lifetime of scaling organizational tasks.

It's one thing to make individuals aware of this obsevation. What group effects might become evident if most or all group members grasped this concept? Could we hope that the average politician wouldn't be so ignorant about emerging group dynamics and our ability to explore emerging group options?

How would YOU demonstrate this concept to 10 year old kids, so that they would own the solution, rather than just accepting it as ideology from adults? How can we teach kids that what they learn to expect in local interactions, does NOT predict what can be expected as larger-scale interactions constantly develop.

ps: If you could get that concept across to a 10-yr old, then maybe there'd be hope for Greenspan, Geithner, Rubin, Orszag and Summers. Maybe even David Walker and Peter Peterson!

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Seems Some Key WSJ Advertisers Are Concerned About The Coin Act ...

Commentary by Roger Erickson

Enough to try to head this baby off at the Platinum pass?

Only makes you wonder what outcome they're so worried about, and determined to avoid.

To Make Sense of the Coins Act, Follow the Money

"Proposed legislation to abolish the dollar bill and replace it with a dollar coin is government at its worst."

Methinks he doth protest too much? What's Wall St's interest in bills and TT&L accounts* over coins? :)

The WSJ's suggested solution is to further privatize control of national fiat. No one could have predicted THAT, of course.


* why won't the mythical money multiplier effect die a commutative death?

ps: The other admissions here - in the Wikipedia page on taxes, TT&L accounts & interest rates - should make the writers think ... but they don't. How curious.