The real problem is accident, the unforeseen, and unintended consequences. While this analysis discounts loose cannons, it cannot be ruled out either. When militaries are positioned very close to each other at the ready, things can go wrong inadvertently and the politics makes it difficult to address them reasonably.
Moreover, there is no strategic or tactical reason for the US and NATO to be operating so close to red lines, whether it be Russia, China, or Iran. Doing so sends signals of plans to attack. Unless that is the intent, it is folly. Those forward positions would be lost immediately on the beginning of hostilities with a much stronger force massed on the other side of the border. It's dangerous posturing.
But it sure is good for getting politicians to direct funding to military expansion and deepening, as well as weapons development.
Russia Direct
5 reasons why the threat of a global war involving Russia is overstated
Andrei Tsygankov
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