Wednesday, July 4, 2012

GOP's demographic problem

Women and Latinos decisively reject the party, but that isn’t the worst of Republicans’ problems....
But those voting blocs are barely the beginning of the GOP’s problems.
The most startling revelation from the June poll in Colorado is that Romney leads Obama among senior citizens by 14 points—but loses among everyone else by 12 points. Voters under 30 prefer Obama by a margin of 30 percent. This means the elderly, particularly older white males, are the GOP’s savior. The sole reason that Romney has any chance of winning this fall is that elderly vote in greater numbers than any other voting bloc. In the 2010 mid-term election, 61 percent of the population over the age of 64 voted—compared with just 37 percent of citizens between 25 and 44, and 21 percent of the voting-age population under 25. The GOP would be on the edge of oblivion if the percentage of young and middle-aged people who vote were equal to that of seniors.
The fact that the elderly are a pillar of the GOP’s base poses a delicate problem. Seniors are, by definition, nearing the end of their lives. So the most important pillar of party’s base is gradually disappearing. 
Read it at In These Times
Romney 2012: It’s the End of the GOP as We Know It
by Theo Anderson

3 comments:

Carlos said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Carlos said...

Looks like the main opportunity is to outlive the grumpy old buggers.... I'm 49 years young and counting...cuts in Medicare anyone?

The meanest hang on the hardest mind you.

Anonymous said...

The only elements of conservatism I see surviving in the youth are libertarians. And we know what happens to that demographic over time.