Tuesday, May 4, 2021

Iran’s Empowered Hardliners — Djavad Salehi-Isfahani

US Iran hawks argue that Donald Trump’s re-imposition of sanctions in 2018 has given his successor, Joe Biden, leverage in the new round of negotiations over restarting the 2015 nuclear deal. In fact, Trump's approach discredited and sidelined the Iranian moderates needed to secure a new agreement.…

Did sanctions backfire? We'll know if Iran's hardliners win the coming election in Iran, which now seems baked in.

It doesn't seem that there is room to reach an agreement before the election given the intransigence on all sides (US, Iran, and Israel) anyway. The window is now closing.

Project Syndicate
Iran’s Empowered Hardliners
Djavad Salehi-Isfahani | Professor of Economics at Virginia Tech, non-resident senior fellow for Global Economy and Development at the Brookings Institution, and a research fellow at the Economic Research Forum in Cairo

7 comments:

Peter Pan said...

Obtaining nukes to defend your country is recommended.

Matt Franko said...

“ Trump's approach discredited and sidelined the Iranian moderates ”

How did trumps assassination of the main hardliner disempower the moderates???

You can tell this foreigner never watched Godfather 1...

Peter Pan said...

What, they don't do promotions in the mafia?

Matt Franko said...

In 1 soluzzo tried to assassinate the Don when santino tipped him off that it was the Don that was the hardliner on their side...

It you assassinate the hardliner on the other side it can effect the power relationships in the organization you are trying to negotiate with...

It was a good move by trump...

Peter Pan said...

Assassinating hardliners in Al Qaida led to the development of ISIL.

Survival pressure on cougars on Vancouver Island, has led to more aggressive cougars.

Matt Franko said...

ISIL developed in Syria where Assad was supposed to be providing security..., so we had to go in there and he is in the doghouse ....

Peter Pan said...

ISIL spilled out of Iraq into Syria.