Monday, January 8, 2024

So-called ‘Team Transitory’ declared victors — Bill Mitchell

On June 8, 2021, the UK Guardian published an Op Ed I wrote about inflation – This article is more than 2 years old:
Price rises should be short-lived – so let’s not resurrect inflation as a bogeyman. In that article, and in several other forums since – written, TV, radio, presentations at events – I articulated the narrative that the current inflationary pressures were transitory and would abate without the need for interest rate increases or cut backs in net government spending. In the subsequent months, I received a lot of flack from fellow economists and those out in the Twitter-verse etc who sent me quotes from the likes of Larry Summers and other prominent mainstreamers who claimed that interest rates would have to rise and government net spending cut to push up unemployment towards some conception they had of the NAIRU, where inflation would stabilise. I was also told that the emergence of the inflationary pressures signalled the death knell for Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) – the critics apparently had some idea that the pressures were caused by excessive government spending and slack monetary settings which demonstrated in their mind that this was proof that MMT policies were dangerous. Of course, they were just demonstrating their ignorance (deliberate or otherwise) of the fact that there are no MMT policies as such. MMT is an analytical framework not a policy regime. Anyway, in the last week, on mainstream economist seems to have recanted and has admitted that “Those who believed inflation would be transitory were proven right, and those who demanded the sacrifice of mass unemployment proven wrong”. For those E-mail warriors who think it is okay to send abusive messages to people you don’t know (or abusive messages in general) please do not send me apologies!...

William Mitchell — Modern Monetary Theory
So-called ‘Team Transitory’ declared victors
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

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3 comments:

Peter Pan said...

The Biden regime was part of 'team transitory'. It doesn't look like they'll receive any credit for saying the right words.

Matt Franko said...

Fed raised rates in unprecedented fashion and “inflation!” has been reduced…

THEY are declaring victory…,

Peter Pan said...

Right words and wrong policy = winning?