Tuesday, October 25, 2016

US Energy Production Increasing


They have the price of their own products in their costs.
First, the relationship between well costs (finding and development costs plus operating costs) and the producer’s breakeven price (price necessary to achieve a zero rate of return) is essentially linear. That means if costs drop by 50%––as they have––then the producer’s breakeven price drops by 50%, all other things being equal. So if a producer’s rate of return was $80/bbl two years ago, now it would probably be closer to $40/Bbl.
So therefore non-cartel sector  production should keep steadily increasing until it displaces all cartel sector imports.




3 comments:

Ryan Harris said...

DUC Wells are coming down, fast, almost gone, Matt. There will probably be modestly more drilling again but not at the boom boom levels because costs would rise. Many of the engineers and oil field workers have left for greener pastures and aren't going to come back unless there are higher wages.

Matt Franko said...

New firms can take advantage of the lower costs.... just like you see a big vacant bldg that they can't rent out meanwhile there is another one being built right next to it...

Matt Franko said...

Ryan people generally don't understand monopoly economics... they have "free markets!" disease on the brain....