Monday, June 2, 2014

Paul Volcker — A New Bretton Woods???

By now I think we can agree that the absence of an official, rules-based cooperatively managed, monetary system has not been a great success. In fact, international financial crises seem at least as frequent and more destructive in impeding economic stability and growth. [p. 3]
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That is all a long introduction to a plea – a plea for attention to the need for developing an international monetary and financial system worthy of our time. [p. 4] 
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Well, even if you agree with my concerns, you will reasonably ask where the analysis leads. What is the approach (or presumably combination of approaches) that can better reconcile reasonably free and open markets with independent national policies, maintaining in the process the stability in markets and economies that is in the common interest? That is a question I cannot answer today with a sense of conviction and practicality. What I do know is that governments do not have before them the necessary analysis and well- conceived approaches that could command attention and support. [p. 5]

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But what can be done now is to lay the intellectual ground work for approaches that can, for instance, identify and limit prolonged and ultimately unsustainable imbalances in national payments. We should be able, within a broad range, to manage exchange rates among major 5 currencies in a manner that discourages the extreme changes that are inconsistent with orderly adjustment. We can and should consider ways and means of encouraging – even insisting upon – needed balance of payments equilibrium. Nor would I reject some re-assessment of the use of a single national currency as the dominant international reserve and trading vehicle. For instance, do we want to encourage or discourage so important a development as regional trade and currency areas? A new Bretton Woods conference? We are long ways from that. But surely events have raised, whether we want to admit it or not, some fundamental questions that have been ignored for decades. [p. 5-6]
A New Bretton Woods??? (PDF)
Remarks By Paul A. Volcker
At The Annual Meeting Of The Bretton Woods Committee
Washington, Dc – May 21, 2014

2 comments:

Roger Erickson said...

back to global Central Planning?
by bankers???

what a maroon!

mike norman said...

Big Paul...go away already. Please, take your retirement. You've certainly earned it.