Oil Prices And Sanctions Strategy: The Apparent Contradiction — John Kemp

If the U.S. government’s view is correct, spot prices and the backwardation should both fall as oil and gas continues to flow, easing some of the fear about a recessionary spike in prices.

If traders are correct, the disruption of oil and gas supplies (actual or threatened), possibly as a result of a miscalculation about the escalation ladder, will worsen inflation and increase the risk of a recession.

But given the contradiction between where prices are trading and the U.S. government’s strategy, someone must be wrong.

Zero Hedge
Oil Prices And Sanctions Strategy: The Apparent Contradiction
John Kemp, senior market analyst at Reuters