Wednesday, May 25, 2022

Links — 25 May 2022 Part 1

The Vineyard of the Saker
NATO vs Russia: what happens next
Pepe Escobar
http://thesaker.is/nato-vs-russia-what-happens-next/

Grains of deceit (disinformation over Russian blockage of ports shipping wheat to provide an excuse for NATO intervention in the Black Sea.)
Natsouth
http://thesaker.is/grains-of-deceit/

India Punchline
Ukraine after 90 days of war (Ukrainian forces in the ropes in Donbass.)
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service and former ambassador
https://www.indianpunchline.com/ukraine-after-90-days-of-war/

13 comments:

Footsoldier said...

What happens next ?


What has been on going for days now.


https://www.bitchute.com/video/nUd98L0vBiCf/


Turning Ukraine into Swiss cheese.

Footsoldier said...

As Russia moves West


They rebuild the taken territory at the same time.Turn into a ruble zone and create public sector jobs and pay pensions in rubles.



Before absorbing the area back into the blob.



https://www.bitchute.com/video/yPd1cHyxqGDg/



All of this as the war grinds on.






Footsoldier said...

The world's wheat reserves will last for 10 weeks.



This was stated by Sarah Menker, CEO of the analytical company Gro Intelligence, during a special meeting of the UN Security Council.

Moreover, the Ukrainian crisis is not the root cause of this situation. He "just poured oil on a long-burning fire."

"While access to fertilizers is severely limited, and the drought in the regions where wheat is grown is the most extreme in the last 20 years," she said.

In turn, the Executive Director of the World Food Program, David Beazley, recalled that with hunger comes political destabilization. This is confirmed by the riots and protests already taking place today in Sri Lanka, Indonesia, Pakistan and Peru.


Footsoldier said...

The European Central Bank is likely to end its bond-buying stimulus program early in the third quarter, followed by a rate hike that could come just 'a few weeks' later, ECB President Christine Lagarde said.


Chris Cook says....


No need for € QE now Russia is insisting on Rubles. The € 'QE Stimulus' narrative was always rubbish: the sole reason for € QE was to accommodate Petro€ asset purchases.

Footsoldier said...

What’s up with Fed daylight overdrafts data?


https://the-blindspot.com/whats-up-with-fed-daylight-overdrafts-data/


That time I met Klaus Schwab in my gym kit


https://the-blindspot.com/that-time-i-met-klaus-schwab-in-my-gym-kit/

Footsoldier said...

The shorts are paying an eye-watering price to get out and avoid having to deliver diesel on expiry of the Nymex ULSD May22 contract on Friday.

The prompt time-spread has now zoomed to >100 cents per gallon. The squeeze is one of the worst ever in global oil markets.


https://mobile.twitter.com/cjenscook/status/1519712314034950145?cxt=HHwWgsC47YeTjZcqAAAA

Peter Pan said...

Good on Beto O'Rourke for interrupting those jackasses with their pious platitudes.

Send all of them straight to hell.

Footsoldier said...

Waiting For The Equity Rally To Resume


A lot of data in this one


https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/910351-robert-p-balan/5735435-waiting-for-equity-rally-to-resume-will-add-long-index-scalpers-models-suggest-run-up


They have built a model that assumes the following ?

10Yr Yield tends to rise when the TGA growth rate is faster than those of Bank Reserves, vice versa

The delta grows when Fed monetization growth is faster, relative to Treasury Debt Issuance growth, and vice versa


Delta of Fed B/S (SOMA plus Bank Deposits) less Total Debt Issuance; Bank Reserves less TGA, 10Yr Yield

Footsoldier said...

Texans ??

Matt Franko said...

Derek they are still doing correlation studies…

Leverage ratio of depository system is of the form (A-L)/A…

Just look at what the components of policy (TGA, system reserves, depository reserves, policy interest rate, etc) is doing to that ratio…

Any policy that reduces that ratio is generally bearish and policy that increases that ratio is generally bullish…

Peter Pan said...

Texan "officials", with their dumb ass southern drawl, and fat ass cowboy hats.

https://youtu.be/hgCVZH-AkaY

Footsoldier said...

"Derek they are still doing correlation studies…"


Aye, Balan has a model for everything it seems Matt.


Every time you go to read what they are thinking up pops another one.


I've kept up with their output for roughly 2 years because some MMT'rs are involved and in that time I have seen at least 40 different types of the these correlation models.



This was the original post on May 6th


https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/910351-robert-p-balan/5729180-may-6-2022-getting-set-for-2-to-3-days-of-countertrend-rally-ny-close-basis-next-week-on

There's 5 different correlation models in that original piece alone.
















Footsoldier said...

Sometimes it feels like they are putting into graphs and create pictures of how you and Mike think things through.


Other times it just makes me feel dizzy and dribble down both sides of the mouth and say wibble with two knitting needles stuck up both of my nostrils.


Giraffe baws - way above my head.