An economics, investment, trading and policy blog with a focus on Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). We seek the truth, avoid the mainstream and are virulently anti-neoliberalism.
Showing posts with label Path to Prosperity. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Path to Prosperity. Show all posts
Tuesday, April 5, 2011
Ryan's "Path to Prosperity." Here's the chilling math.
Let's walk through the numbers of GOP hatchetman Paul Ryan's plan to see what happens if we follow what he proposes and subtract $580 billion from U.S. eocnomic output over a 10-year period.
We start off with a currrent GDP of $14,700 bln.
Year 1 14120
Year 2 13540
Year 3 12960
Year 4 12380
Year 5 11800
Year 6 11220
Year 7 10640
Year 8 10060
Year 9 9480
Year 10 8900
You can see that by year 10, economic output has shrunk 40%.
Given that the unemployment rate shot up about 5 percentage points when the economy contracted a mere 5% in 2009, we can guestimate that unemployment would increase by 40%. That means we'd have a 50% unemployment rate. Half the workforce would be unemployed.
This is Ryan's "Path to Prosperity."
It's catastrophic. This is a Great Depression.
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