Lars P. Syll’s Blog
British austerity delusion
Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University
An economics, investment, trading and policy blog with a focus on Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). We seek the truth, avoid the mainstream and are virulently anti-neoliberalism.
We are only slowly recovering from the second-worst calamity in economic history. While the recession officially ended almost three years ago, unemployment remains over 8% and real GDP growth is anemic. Paul Ryan and his supporters say that the reason for this sluggish response is the size of the government, the most visible manifestations of which are the national debt and the deficit. They believe that the public sector is leaching resources away from private industry, preventing the latter from booming and restoring prosperity. Their recommendation: trim the fat off our economy by cutting government spending. Then the private sector will be set free, jobs will be created, and real GDP will soar.
History, however, argues that reducing the size of the deficit at this time would not just prove to be ineffective, it would be disastrous. This is precisely what occurred in the middle of the Great Depression when, as a consequence of a misguided attempt to balance the budget, policy makers reduced government spending and drove unemployment up by almost five percentage points. It took over three years to repair the damage. Let’s not do that again.