Showing posts with label US interest rates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label US interest rates. Show all posts

Thursday, February 2, 2012

Negative interest coming? What was the about a downgrade? Debt ceiling?


(Reuters) - The U.S. government may ask investors to pay for the privilege and safety of holding short-term debt issued by its Treasury Department.
In response to clamor from investors, the Treasury said on Wednesday it was looking closely at allowing negative-yield auctions. This would mean bidders who want the security of U.S. government debt in the face of global insecurity, might have to pay a premium for it.
Doing so would allow the U.S. government to benefit from something that is already occurring on the secondary market, where investors have accepted negative yields in recent months to protect their cash from financial strains.
Remarkably, Wall Street is asking to be able to pay a premium for U.S. debt even after the United States lost its prized AAA rating last year and as the government heads for a fourth straight year with $1 trillion-plus budget deficit.
"It is the unanimous view of the committee that Treasury should modify auction regulations to permit negative rate bidding and awards in Treasury bill auctions as soon as feasible," according to minutes of the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee, which includes 21 financial institutions that make markets for U.S. government securities.
Read the rest at Reuters
Treasury may let investors pay to lend to U.S. government
by Glenn Somerville and Mark Felsenthal


Thursday, January 19, 2012

Historical Long Term Interest Rates — 1790-2011


Barry Ritholtz posted this today. Reposting here for the record.
(h/t Keven Fathi via email)





Source: What Drives The Bond Market?
Chicago CFA Handout by Bianco Research LLC
January 18, 2011

Per a request in the comments, here are some historical charts of the national debt for comparison.

EconoMatters

Natural Born Conservative

Business Insider

What was that about high public debt correlating with high interest rates?

Friday, November 4, 2011

What if foreigners sell Treasuries? Another myth exploded.



For a long time we’ve heard all the “America is broke, debt-doomsday, we're borrowing from the Chinese” crowd tell us that one day foreigners will start dumping their holdings of Treasuries and interest rates in the US will spike to Greek-like levels.

Well, guess what?

Since August 24th of this year, foreigners have unloaded an unprecedented $100 BILLION of Treasury holdings and INTEREST RATES WENT DOWN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

August 24, foreign custodial holdings of US Treasury securities: $3.49 trillion.
Rate on the 10year Treasury: 2.30%

Nov 2, foreign custodial holdings of US Treasury securities: $3.39 trillion. Rate on the 10 year Treasury: 1.98%

Another myth exploded.