Robert Kaplan does geostrategy and does a credible job of it. In my view he sees the big picture in outline pretty well, although I would quibble with some of the details. It is written from the US POV, of course, but he is able to stand back from it enough to make the article worth a read. Robert Kaplan and his spouse Victoria Nuland are mainstays of US foreign policy, so it is important for that reason alone.
The National Interest
America Must Prepare for the Coming Chinese Empire
Robert D. Kaplan | managing director for global macro at Eurasia Group
See also
Robert Kaplan: Grand Strategy and the Return of Marco Polo's World