Showing posts with label real terms of trade. Show all posts
Showing posts with label real terms of trade. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 1, 2018

Bill Mitchell – The government is not a household and imports are still a benefit


A key post on MMT. Plus, it is short.

Bill Mitchell – billy blog
The government is not a household and imports are still a benefit
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia


Tuesday, March 17, 2015

Winterspeak — Why MMT is still important

Mosler refers to individuals who understand MMT as being "in paradigm", which those who do not as "out of paradigm".....
...this whole notion of exporting countries, such as China, damaging labor markets in the US is completely out-of-paradigm. The MMT argument goes, that if China wants to trade real goods and services for US$, then the US Gov needs to run higher deficits to satisfy the Chinese demand for US$ while maintaining full employment at domestically. Any domestic labor market weakness is due to insufficient spending (as always) and not actions by the exporter. The terms of trade, in this case, are firmly in favor of the importer as deficit spending is easy, while the exporter needs to forgo the real output of their labor.
Winterspeak
Why MMT is still important

Friday, February 28, 2014

Winterspeak — Flexible Exchange Rates, MMT, and the Ruble Crises of MMT


Winterspeak addresses some of Ramanan's observations.

A point of clarification. Winterspeak says, "One of the more interesting MMT insights, as stated by Mosler, is "exports are a cost, imports are a benefit", which is the opposite of the usual narrative where export driven economies, like Japan, are hailed while import driven economies, like the US, are said to be more vulnerable." 

What Warren and MMT economists say is that ""exports are a REAL cost, imports are a REAL benefit," implying a monetary system in which an independent currency ("sovereign" currency) is neither a real good nor backed by a promise of the issuer to exchange it for anything real. I don't believe that is controversial in economics. 

The notion that n export-driven economic is superior to an import-driven one is a holdover from the metal standard, e.g., where international trade was settled in gold or silver and the wealth of a nation was measured by its stock of precious metal. 

That's the mercantilist position. While it is over, the same thinking persists, some would say irrationally. Now, the rational position is to prefer an advantage in real terms if it is possible to achieve, since national prosperity is measured in consumption rather than either financial claims or gold stock.

winterspeak.com
Flexible Exchange Rates, MMT, and the Ruble Crises of MMT

On matter related to trade that often doesn't enter the discussion in economics is relative power. Power has been demonstrated  in the extreme historically in imperialism and colonialism, and the slave trade, for instance. However even in contemporary, and supposedly, post-imperial and post-colonial times, power imbalance also results in economic and financial imbalance in trade, and usually this is in favor of the more powerful nation in the trade relationship.

Thursday, March 14, 2013

John Carney — The Great Debate Over a Strong Dollar


Exports are a cost and imports are a benefit in real terms of trade.
We still want the stuff we send out to the rest of the world to be worth less than what we take from the rest of the world. If having a floating rate, nonconvertible fiat currency that is used as a reserve currency by central banks around the world helps us accomplish this goal, that's a benefit not a cost.
You don't have to be a free market fundamentalist to see this point. Even if you think that it's important to preserve, say, manufacturing jobs in the United States, your argument doesn't have to turn on the balance of trade. But it is weird to see the side most associated with free markets, the gold standard folks, relying on this kind of thinking.
CNBC NetNet
The Great Debate Over a Strong Dollar
John Carney | Senior Editor

Saturday, January 5, 2013

Neil Wilson — More support for MMT's external sector analysis

One of the points that comes out of MMT's floating rate analysis is that when export-led nations and import-led nations trade with each other there is a tendency for the export-led central banks to accumulate net-savings in the import-led government sectors. This is due to liquidity action and intervention by the export-led nations in support of their exporters....
3spoken
More support for MMT's external sector analysis
Neil Wilson

Monday, December 24, 2012

Stephen Gordon — Imports are a benefit, exports are a cost. Is it clear now?


Warren Mosler links to a post by Stephen Gordon that reiterates the MMT position on terms of trade.
...trade policy would be much more sensible if our governments stopped confusing what the costs and benefits of international trade really are.
The Globe and Mail (Canada)
Imports are a benefit, exports are a cost. Is it clear now?
Stephen Gordon | Professor of Economics at Laval University, Quebec City, and a fellow of the Centre interuniversitaire sur le risque, les politiques économiques et l'emploi (CIRPÉE)