Showing posts with label unknown unknowns. Show all posts
Showing posts with label unknown unknowns. Show all posts

Friday, January 13, 2017

Edward Harrison — The potential for military confrontation due to Trump’s foreign policy


Edward Harrison examines Rex Tillerson's testimony to the Senate. He is guardedly optimistic about US-Russian relations and somewhat pessimistic about US-China relations.

One problem I see developing with Trump's style as a negotiator is that it is an advantage to insert uncertainty in private dealmaking purposefully. However, uncertainty in domestic and global politics is destabilizing and that extends to economic matters, too. Trump apparently believes he can strike a balance in this regard, but things can get out of hand in unexpected was and have unforeseen consequences.