Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Yu Yongding — A Floor for the Renminbi

In early 2014, after nearly a decade of trying to curb expectations of continued currency appreciation, the People's Bank of China finally succeeded, thanks to forceful market intervention. Unfortunately, the PBOC was pushing on an open door and is now facing an even more difficult challenge: strong depreciation expectations.…
When Yu Yongding speaks the world listens. He says to float the RMB.

Project Syndicate
A Floor for the Renminbi
Yu Yongding, a former president of the China Society of World Economics and director of the Institute of World Economics and Politics at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, served on the Monetary Policy Committee of the People’s Bank of China from 2004 to 2006. He has also served as a member of the Advisory Committee of National Planning of the Commission of National Development and Reform of the PRC.

See also
Since the beginning of the Global Crisis, illicit capital flows out of China have been in decline. This column argues that a key factor behind this is the relative money supply between China and the US. China’s rapidly increasing money supply, combined with the Fed’s expansionary monetary policy, prompted investors to reallocate their portfolios between the two countries. Another contributing factor is China’s gradual process of capital account liberalisation. The Fed’s interest rate hike in December may see a resurgence in China’s capital flight.
Explains the technical meaning of "capital flight" in terms of balance of payments.

Vox.eu
China’s capital flight and US monetary policy
Yin-Wong Cheung , Sven Steinkamp, Frank Westermann


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