Showing posts with label China. Show all posts
Showing posts with label China. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 24, 2020

Behind the Headlines from China — Martin Armstrong

This is a direct communication from our staff in China. This is what I mean when I say we have boots on the ground around the world. We do not need to rely on newspapers or TV who love to spin these events. Our direct sources are confirming that life is returning to normal in China. This is not coming from any propaganda put out by the government or other accusations people love to make. I have stated plenty of times, I prefer facts – not speculation. I believe this will peak out also by April/May here in the West.
I hope he is correct, but the West is not (yet) taking the stringent measures that China took. The Chinese people are essentially collectivist culturally (we are all in this together), while Westerners, and Americans and Brits in particular, are individualistic culturally (every man for himself). Therefore, measures that are applicable in China may not be as applicable in the West. 

Armstrong Economics
Behind the Headlines from China
Martin Armstrong

also

Fort Russ
MAJOR: China Reports Zero New Domestic Virus Cases for first time

Friday, January 31, 2020

Saudis Boost Crude Oil Exports To China By 47% In 2019 — Tsvetana Paraskova

The world’s largest oil exporter, Saudi Arabia, significantly raised its crude sales to the world’s largest oil importer, China, in 2019, boosting its exports to China by 47 percent and beating Russia for the top Chinese supplier spot for the first time in four years, according to Chinese customs data as carried by Reuters on Friday. While Saudi Arabia restricts production under the OPEC+ deal, it has prioritized shipments to the most prized markets, China and Asia, at the expense of exports to markets such as the United States....
Going where the future lies. It's also the reason that the UK and EU stiffed Trump on his demand to isolate Huawei, endangering the Chinese market for them.

Oilprice
Saudis Boost Crude Oil Exports To China By 47% In 2019
Tsvetana Paraskova

Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Coronavirus: Not Looking Good — Yves Smith

 
Update on what is known. A lot remains unknown or unclear, especially in the fog of panic. There is also considerable misinformation.

The push is on to isolate the disease to prevent pandemic. This creates an impression that the worst is already happening when it is not. The worst case is a mutating virus and as far as is known, this is not happening — yet. 

Let's keep this is perspective though. The likelihood of contracting coronavirus is still very low in most places, and the likelihood of dying from it lower. The likelihood of contracting one of the ordinary garden-variety flus, and perhaps dying from it, is vastly higher. Existing flus are already at epidemic levels in most areas, especially crowded ones. 

The same precautions regarding good hygiene against ordinary flu and coronavirus are recommended, except there is as yet no vaccine for coronavirus. But the risk most face is from the ordinary flus that happen to be active this year. 

The medical community is advising to get a flu shot if you haven't, even if it seems late in the season. Flu season lasts through March and the tail can be the worst. But flu vaccines don't guarantee that one won't contract a case of the flu. 

Good hygiene is the first line of defense, along with limiting possible exposure. This is what the medical people do. Of course, medical personnel cannot avoid being exposed to cases they are treating, so they wear surgical masks. These are not yet popular in the US, but they have become a staple other parts of the world, especially in Asia where population density is high.

This is already having a huge economic impact in China as swaths of the country virtually shut down. The likelihood of this spilling over into the global economy is rising, especially if coronavirus "goes viral" internationally. 

Naked Capitalism
Coronavirus: Not Looking Good
Yves Smith

Friday, January 17, 2020

Politically Motivated Attempts to Own or Disown China as “Capitalist” — Peter Cooper

There are often attempts in the west to depict China as capitalist rather than socialist. After decades of China going from strength to strength on macroeconomic criteria – and in view of its undeniable achievement in reducing poverty at a rate unmatched in recorded human history – some on the right wish to deny that this could have been accomplished through socialism and so instead claim China to be capitalist. At the same time, there are those on the left who wish to distance notions of socialism from China’s economic system and especially its record on human rights....
Heteconomist
Politically Motivated Attempts to Own or Disown China as “Capitalist”
Peter Cooper

Tuesday, January 7, 2020

Andrew Batson — Who won the battle of ideas in China?


And the winner is — wait for it — Xi Jinping.

This is an important backgrounder to understand the direction that the Chinese leadership is taking. Very dialectical. Xi is bent on effecting a consolidation of Chinese history and culture in the New China. Xi is emerging as one of the most significant thinkers in the history of Chinese thought. Chinese thought is very subtle and quite unlike Western thought. Xi, of course, understands it in depth, but very few Western commentators are able to appreciate what is is about, even observers that are fluent in Chinese. Nonetheless, this is a useful post.

Andrew Batson's Blog
Who won the battle of ideas in China?
Andrew

Thursday, December 12, 2019

Why China’s Mobile Coverage is Superior to that of the US — Zhang Chi


China treats Internet access as a public good and provides it universally as a public utility.

Actually, many countries have wider access to better connection at a more reasonable price than the US. The Internet in the US is another rent-extraction machine.

The US puts its public monies into the war machine and black budget paramilitary.

China is arguably wise to do this rather than "generous." The basis for a developed society, including the economy, is security, social cohesion, culture, institutions, and infrastructure. For a modern society this includes education and health care, and in the digital age, access to the Internet and digital technology.

Bill Totten's Weblog
Why China’s Mobile Coverage is Superior to that of the US
Zhang Chi via Global Times

Monday, November 25, 2019

A New Pipeline Could Undo America’s Influence In Asia — Simon Watkins

From the moment that the U.S. re-imposed sanctions in earnest on Iran late last year, Pakistan has been looking at ways to resuscitate a deal that had been agreed in principle before the U.S. unilaterally withdrew from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) last May. This deal involved moving as much gas as Pakistan needs from Iran’s Asalouyeh into Pakistan’s Gwadar and then on to Nawabshah for further transit if required. At the same time, China has been in long-running discussions with Pakistan over the specific projects that Beijing wanted to place in Pakistan as part of its ‘One Belt, One Road’ (OBOR) programme. All the while, the U.S. has been trying to stymie any such arrangement but OilPrice.com understands that the Iran-China-Pakistan deal is now back on, and with a vengeance.
China’s covert strategic deals are virtually always buried in interminably long anodyne statements that belie the true laser-focused intentions of Beijing and this time is no different....
Oilprice
A New Pipeline Could Undo America’s Influence In Asia
Simon Watkins

Friday, November 22, 2019

Weekend Reading — China edition [Updated]


Alternatives to the reporting in conventional media.


China Rising (July 2019)
Confucius, Laozi and Buddha are humbly winning against the imperial West, in troubled Hong Kong.
Jeff J. Brown

As Jeff Brown forsaw.

Moon of Alabama
Why The Hong Kong Riots Are Coming To An End

The Grayzone
Hong Kong’s opposition unites with Washington hardliners to ‘preserve the US’s own political and economic interests’
Ajit Singh

Bill Totten's Weblog
From Idlib to Xinjiang — Uyghur Fighters Trained for Terror
Steven Sahiounie
Ben Norton and Ajit Singh
The Grayzone (August 23 2018)

Bill Totten's Weblog
US Relations with China were Just DestroyedMichael Snyder
TheMostImportantNews.com (November 20 2019)
Zero Hedge (November 20 2019)





Thursday, November 7, 2019

America’s War on Chinese Technology — Jeffrey D. Sachs

In the run up to the Iraq War, then-US Vice President Richard Cheney declared that even if the risk of weapons of mass destruction falling into terrorist hands was tiny, say 1%, we should act as if it were certain by invading. The US is at it again, creating a panic over Chinese technologies by exaggerating tiny risks....
With all respect due, Professor Sachs is simply wrong about the logic here. The logic for attacking Iraq had to do chiefly with control of the Middle East, the center of global energy. The logic for "containing" China the ultimate goal of which is to force China into the same fate as the USSR, is the Wolfowitz doctrine of permanent global domination.

The rationale put forward by then Vice-President Cheney to justify the invasion of Iraq on false pretenses was part of the larger rationale put forward at the time. This was only the national security reason. There were others, such as justifying liberal interventionism.

However, I will grant that the rationale for containing (and eventually defeating) China follows a similar pattern. It is apparently put forward as a proven strategy.

Project Syndicate
America’s War on Chinese Technology
Jeffrey D. Sachs | Professor of Sustainable Development and Professor of Health Policy and Management at Columbia University, ands Director of Columbia’s Center for Sustainable Development and of the UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network

Wednesday, November 6, 2019

Sputnik International — China Announces Development of 6G Network Less Than Week After 5G Rollout


On a tech roll. Copier no more?

See also

Asia Times
5G policy ‘biggest strategic disaster in US history’

China’s growing presence on the Russian market and what it means for the European Union — Alicia García-Herrero and Jianwei Xu

Russia doesn’t just look West, it looks East – and increasingly so. China’s economy has developed very rapidly over the past two decades, becoming the world’s largest exporter from a low base. Its goods have flooded Russia, eating into the EU’s export share. The changing global environment has helped re-orient Russia’s economic relationships eastwards, especially towards China. Chinese-Russian ties are also developing in the context of China’s massive Belt and Road Initiative.
This raises the question of the extent to which China might be able to displace the EU in Russia, in terms of trade, investment and lending. In a Bruegel working paper (written with the support of the EU Russia Expert Network on Foreign Policy), we assessed the deepening of Russia’s economic ties with China and what this might mean for the EU.
The data sheds light on some key issues EU policymakers should pay attention to. Since 2002, the EU’s share of Russia’s imports has dropped from 53% to about 40%, while China’s share has risen from less than 3% to 21%. Therefore, the EU still dominates, but what China exports is changing – and that should also give cause for concern. The share of domestic content in the goods China sells to the world has been increasing, and Chinese exports are increasingly substituting EU exports on the Russian market, especially in capital-intensive sectors. Notable overlaps are vehicles, industrial machinery, electronics and metal components.…
Bruegel

Thursday, October 31, 2019

Sputnik — Huawei Sets Record Share of China’s Smartphone Market Beating Apple

Huawei’s smartphone shipments surged 66% year-on-year in the third quarter, according to research published Wednesday by research firm Canalys, capturing a record 42% of China’s overall smartphone market....
Sputnik International
Huawei Sets Record Share of China’s Smartphone Market Beating Apple

Monday, October 28, 2019

China Adjusts to the New World Order — Andrew Sheng and Xiao Geng

Recognizing that global engagement is in its interests, China's leaders have been working to counter the backlash against globalization and have reconfirmed their commitment to continued reform and opening up. But China does not need the world nearly as desperately as US President Donald Trump and his advisers seem to believe.
Project Syndicate
China Adjusts to the New World Order
Andrew Sheng, Distinguished Fellow of the Asia Global Institute at the University of Hong Kong and a member of the UNEP Advisory Council on Sustainable Finance, former chairman of the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission, and currently adjunct professor at Tsinghua University in Beijing; and Xiao Geng, President of the Hong Kong Institution for International Finance, and professor and Director of the Research Institute of Maritime Silk-Road at Peking University HSBC Business School

Sunday, October 27, 2019

Nikkei Asian Review misleading headline? "Pay with your face: 100m Chinese switch from smartphones"


Apparently misleading headline at Nikkei. There is nothing in the article that reflects what the headline asserts. To the contrary, in the last paragraph the article states the opposite.
The situation in China apparently heralds an era of ubiquitous facial recognition, when greater tech-supported convenience comes at the cost of privacy. In China, however, the name of the game is "ease to use." There is no particularly strident criticism in the country, at least for now, about the use of the software by the government or companies.…
But most people read only the headlines, and if they read the body at all, it's not past the first couple of paragraphs. So this is used as a tool in narrative control.

Where the switch in smartphones is occurring is away from foreign brands to domestic brands for patriotic reasons but also reflecting the rise in quality of domestic products to a level that competes with the big name brands from abroad.

Moreover, there is a tradeoff between privacy and efficiency. There is also a tradeoff between privacy and access. China is pretty up front about this and privacy takes a seat to the rear of the bus.

In the liberal countries, a lot of lip-service is paid to privacy, and choice in making the tradeoffs, while the intelligence services are working behind the scenes to gain total information access, and according to Edward Snowden were doing quite well at the time he blew the whistle on it, not that he was the only one either.

The question is how much privacy is even possible in a technologically advanced society where information is a major factor in power and wealth.

Nikkei Asian Review
Pay with your face: 100m Chinese switch from smartphones —Facial recognition technology spreads rapidly at the expense of privacy
Takashi Kawakami And Yusuke Hinata, Nikkei staff writers

Friday, October 25, 2019

Vladimir Putin signed dozens of MOUs with African countries this week but can’t match China — Joe Penney

By the time the inaugural Russia-Africa Summit closed on Thursday afternoon in Sochi, Russia, president Vladimir Putin and his administration had signed dozens of memorandums of understanding (MOU) and other agreements with the African countries that attended.
The agreements include military cooperation, agricultural development, biotechnology, and oil and gas. They range from the minor, like Democratic Republic of Congo’s deal to sign data storage software, to more ambitious, like Ethiopia’s plan to build two 12,000 MW nuclear reactors.
Overall, Russia made big pledges across the two days in its effort to reestablish itself as a premier power on the continent and challenge China’s trade dominance. Russian trade with Africa has more than tripled to $18 billion in the past nine years, and Putin stated in his opening address that he wants to double that figure in the next five years.…
But it’s unclear how Russia’s commitments will measure up when put up against the China’s deep foray into Africa especially over the last two decades.
China’s last Africa summit FOCAC, held in Beijing in September 2018, made ambitious promises and followed through on them, fortifying the Asian giant’s place as Africa’s biggest trading partner at $204 billion annually.
President Xi Jinping committed to $60 billion to back development projects and said China will also exempt some poorer nations from debt, increase imports from Africa, support the building of the continental free trade area, and give scholarships to young Africans....
But Russia’s economy, with a GDP of $1.57 trillion, can’t realistically compete with a Chinese economy more than seven times that size, and it remains to be seen how many of the MOUs it signed in Sochi will pan out....
Quartz

Monday, October 21, 2019

Asia Times — ‘You can never be China’s friend’: Spengler


Useful but written from written from an idealized Western point of view. For example, the author is either unfamiliar with Aristotle's analysis of friendship or else purposefully truncates it, essentially misrepresenting it.

Aristotle distinguished three types of "friendship" — friendship based on pleasure, friendship based on use, and friendship based on "brotherly love" (φιλία philía). Most relationships fall into the first two categories, and true friend — those whose only wish is to share life — are few. This is the case around the world, since most people are dominated by narrow self-interest and seek fame, fortune, power and pleasure rather than preferring what Aristotle called arete (ἀρετή), which is usually translated as "virtue, but is more properly translated as "excellence.

The difference between those from the East and West is not human (natural, innate) but cultural (acquired, learned). Human share the evolutionary traits of the species that are geared to survival and reproduction, chiefly reproduction. Cultures develop ways of life suitable to the local environment that account for differences that may be so long-standing as to appear to be constitutional rather than constructed. But this is the case even regionally within countries.

Also emphasized is the persistence of family ties as culturally determinative. This is natural, being an evolutionary trait and the Chinese have no lock on it. It is especially the case in conservative cultures, since conservative implies traditional. Liberalism is more radical, willing to jettison tradition. This is why conservatives oppose it and view it as unsustainable experimentalism.

The author makes the interesting point that the Chinese culture is essentially anarchistic, and it is held together loosely by Mandarinism, which prevented the dominance of war lordism. The Daodejing (Tao Te Ching) can be read as the first libertarian manual. There is a tension between the libertarianism of Taoism and the conserativism of Confucianism that runs through Chinese culture. Later, Buddhism was added to this combination, providing a bridge between them in shaping the culture. Finally, Chinese Communism was laid on top of this as a late comer. 

This has resulted in a complex culture that appears mysterious to foreign eyes, and foreign analysts often err in viewing it from their own perspective rather than from the inside as a response to challenges that are specific to the Chinese. The result is the emergence of a complex adaptive system that characterizes itself as "market socialism with Chinese characteristics."

The takeaway, however, is that China operates on a Mandarin meritocracy that resembles a Western military or corporate model rather than a representative democratic one. This model has served China very well in the past and continues to do so, as the last 70 years go to show, and especially the last 30. The pace is quickening, and the West is getting concerned about it.

Daniel Goldman's point is that instead of playing a blame gain or getting all confrontational, the West would be better served by getting more competitive. The world is changing and the West, used to running the show, is getting left behind through inadvertence to its own shortcomings. Time to rethink use of resources, especially productive resources in an increasingly technological world.

Asia Times
‘You can never be China’s friend’: Spengler
Urs Gehriger interviews David P. Goldman aka "Spengler"

See also
By broadening the nexus between economic interest and national security, Trump is encouraging the decoupling of the world’s two largest economies and the emergence of a bipolar world order led by rival hegemons. Beyond fragmenting the trade and financial system that has underpinned the global economy for decades, the stage would be set for a devastating conflict.
Project Syndicate
Locking China Out of the Dollar System
Paola Subacchi | Professor of International Economics at the University of London’s Queen Mary Global Policy Institute, and the author of The People’s Money: How China is Building a Global Currency

See also
In this Letter, we introduce a new China CAT index of Chinese economic activity based on the first principal components of eight alternative activity indicators. Comparing alternative measures suggests that our index provides a more accurate assessment of economic activity in China than reported GDP does. Indeed, in recent years, GDP growth appears spuriously smooth.
Our index suggests that China’s cyclical activity has slowed over the past two years from an above-trend pace to a slightly below-trend pace. Still, there is no evidence of a collapse in growth to a rate markedly below trend - nor do the individual activity indicators suggest a sharper slowdown in trend than the gradual one captured in the published GDP numbers.
Because we validate our data relative to imports, our estimates might underweight services and other nontradable sectors. Still, our preferred activity factor includes both relatively narrow indicators, such as rail freight, and broader ones, such as retail sales. Moreover, even if the China CAT index is imperfect, our results suggest it may be a better indicator of cyclical fluctuations in China’s economic activity than GDP alone.
econintersect
FRBSF — How Severe Is Chinas Slowdown? Evidence From China CAT
John Fernald, senior research advisor in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco; Neil Gerstein,  former research associate in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, and Mark Spiegel, vice president in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Friday, October 4, 2019

China’s Corrupt Meritocracy — Yuen Yuen Ang


This is a useful post, but it errs inso far as it implies that reducing the power of the CCP and going to a more liberal model would reduce corruption. This has not been the case in the West, where there is also a symbiotic relationship between politicians and business and finance. 

This doesn't change by making what is fundamentally unethical legal, and corruption is also invited by a double standard of justice, lax oversight, and penalties that do not deter but rather are booked as another cost of doing business.

The difference in the West is that a democracy is not a meritocracy and therefore, many Western political leaders are not competent. 

If China becomes more liberal, corruption will not necessarily decrease but competence may. Thinking otherwise is believing the myth.

Where status, power and wealth are involved, corruption is always an issue, and the high stakes attract those that are corrupt or corruptible. And, as the post points out, the question boils down to who is going to police the police.

As a matter of fact, both Presidents Xi and Putin have appointed independent investigators and many cases have been reversed for prosecution, even of high officials.
Yuen Yuen Ang | Professor of Political Economy at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.

Thursday, September 12, 2019

7 Decades of China’s achievements — Zamir Ahmed Awan

China is an old civilization and has been passing through various ups and downs throughout history. Which is very much rational and the natural cycle of human history. There was a time when Romans were at the peak, but today they stand nowhere, British and French colonialized half of the world, but today squeezed to a small state only. Ottoman Empire in Turkey was in control of parts of Asia, Africa, and Europe, but today is a small developing nation. Every peak has to pass through fall, it is a natural cycle in the history of nations. But China, the last 200 years have been suffering due to the colonializations, imperialism, and expansionism of Western World. Either it was opium war I or II or War of resistance, the Chinese suffered a lot. But with the establishment of the “The People’s Republic of China on the 1st of October 1949, China liberated finally. However, it did not end the Western world’s aggression against China. It was the economic blockade of China or war against communism threat, China was the victim in the early 1950s, 1960, and 1970s.
The story of the non-West today is that of decolonization, which is proceeding unevenly and challenged by Western powers for the most part. The IMF and World Bank were established to administer neoliberal policy, which entails neo-imperialism and neocolonialism under the leadership of the United States as the current imperial force in the world and, of course, wants to keep it that way. 

The Washington Consensus that was originally designed to facilitate decolonization was subsequently interpreted in terms of neoliberal policy favoring "market solutions," in which market power is held by the developed world and by the US in particular. China is still contending with this and is taking the long view.

The Vineyard of the Saker
7 Decades of China’s achievements
Prof. Engr. Zamir Ahmed Awan, Sinologist (ex-Diplomate), Academician, Researcher, Peace-activist, Non-Resident Fellow of CCG (Center for China and Globalization), Islamabad, Pakistan