In my experience as an intern in the Consumer Financial
Protection Bureau’s Office of Community Affairs, I regularly interacted with advocates
from community, religious, ethnic, and consumer protection groups. They were
all lovely people who were smart, passionate about what they did, and tough as
hell. The success, and even the existence of the CFPB is testament to their
ability to stand up against powerful banking lobbyists, who were usually paid
much more than them. And while I agreed or at least sympathized with most of
what these folks advocated, there was one issue where I found their means to be questionable.
While I think the ends
that they were advocating for
(equality of opportunity, empowering minority groups and the poor, fair
lending) were all fantastic, the means that they advocated for often left me
shaking my head, especially when it came to credit availability. The overriding
thought process of these advocates was that minorities needed more access to
credit, aka debt. Unfortunately, this often meant that these advocates supported weaker lending standards, and
found themselves in the odd position of agreeing with banking industry
lobbyists. This was especially true during the development of the Qualified
Mortgage (QM) and Qualified Residential Mortgage (QRM) rules.
However, I always felt that these folks were advocating for the
wrong tools. The economic struggles of the poor and minorities stem from a lack
of income, not a lack of debt. It is high levels of unemployment and deterioration
of unions that have caused a collapse in incomes, and therefore
creditworthiness, in these communities. Therefore, restoring income growth should be the primary focus of minority and consumer advocates. Lowering lending standards to meet
these lower incomes is certainly not the solution to this problem, as we
already tried this experiment in the last decade. No amount of lent money can
replace a lack of earned money, and deliberately weakening underwriting
standards to paper over insufficient incomes is a fool’s errand. As we now
know, it was minority groups, especially African-Americans, who lost, and have not recovered, the most
wealth in the financial crisis, since most of their wealth was in their homes. And of course, at the height of the bubble, many fly-by-night originators were more than happy to push out ARM NINJA loans to minority communities, who were rarely able to make payments after the teaser periods expired.
The political implications of this are even scarier. We
already know how conservatives love to blame the entire financial crisis on the
federal government incentivizing lending, (through the GSE's and Community Reinvestment Act) to “those people.” I fear that trying this experiment
again will not only set minorities back, but it will further
inflame the lunatic fringe that empowers the very politicians who make income
inequality worse.
As far as I know, the MMT community is the only one that
clearly elucidates the relationship between national spending, incomes,
lending, and debt. I think it’s vital that the ethnic/community/consumer groups
come to fully understand MMT and the stock/flows that we describe. Without it,
they may continue to walk down the beaten path, and over the cliff once again.