Sunday, August 25, 2013

Bill McBride — The Future is still Bright!

Early this year I wrote The Future's so Bright .... In that post I outlined why I was becoming more optimistic, even though there might be too much deficit reduction in 2013. As I noted, "ex-austerity, we'd probably be looking at a decent year" in 2013. And of course - looking forward -Congress remains the key downside risk to the U.S. economy.
It still appears economic growth will pickup over the next few years. With a combination of growth in the key housing sector, a significant amount of household deleveraging behind us, the end of the drag from state and local government layoffs (four years of austerity mostly over), some loosening of household credit, and the Fed staying accommodative (even if the Fed starts to taper, the Fed will remain accommodative).....
Calculated Risk
The Future is still Bright!
Bill McBride

1 comment:

Roger Erickson said...

so bright that most can't see it :(