In principle, I have no problem with such a use of accounting identities. There’s nothing wrong with pointing out the logical inconsistency between wanting Germany to pay reparations and being unwilling to accept payment in anything but gold. Using an accounting identity in this way is akin to using the law of conservation of energy to point out that perpetual motion is impossible. However, essentially the same argument could be made using an equilibrium condition for the balance of payments instead of an identity. The difference is that the accounting identity tells you nothing about how the system evolves over time. For that you need a behavioral theory that explains how the system adjusts when the equilibrium conditions are not satisfied. Accounting identities and conservation laws don’t give you any information about how the system adjusts when it is out of equilibrium. So as Pettis goes on to elaborate on Keynes’s analysis of the reparations issue, one or more behavioral theories must be tacitly called upon to explain how the international system would adjust to a balance-of-payments disequilibrium.…
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Wednesday, October 21, 2015
David Glasner — Keynes and Accounting Identities
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Think of an osmotic arrangement where the concentrations (prices) on either side of the membrane can be quickly changed, but instead of a membrane with a fixed permeability coefficient (fixed forex), the membrane's permeability is also a function of the concentrations (variable forex)...
Bank capital requirements (within the variable membrane permeability function) are the fixed coefficient...
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