Yes, seriously. Here's why he could win.Oh, the irony. The populist candidate is a billionaire, or so he boasts.
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Top Ten Reasons Trump Wins the GOP Nomination
Bob Burnett / Smirking Chimp
Yes, seriously. Here's why he could win.Oh, the irony. The populist candidate is a billionaire, or so he boasts.
6 comments:
IOW, Democrats see the race card as their most viable strategy for Hillary to defeat Trump. Which in the absence of any good ideas or policy will probably work for Hillary. The wrinkle is that Hillary is a poster child, entitled white ivy league attorney from Arkansas that represents southern white elite culture better than pretty much any other candidate. Much of her support from mainstream white america probably comes from her race appeal.
Ben Carson has the right skin color and conservative religious positions to test out a new southern strategy to unite religious conservatives in the south who, if they are black have been alienated by a liberal black President that they were obligated to support because of skin color but may not have agreed with his ideology. Whites disliked his ideology and skin color just made it worse. Blacks and Whites may not go to the same Churches in Mississippi, but they do go to Church and share more of the same values than not. A candidate that gets people to overcome race on shared values would send a powerful message to Dems that they can't use the race card in every election and would purge the minority of racist whites from the party and back over to the Dems.
For Dems, that would mean that they actually have to deliver some meaningful racial policy. That could force them to alienate their white libertarian conservative neo-liberal base on the west coast.
I just don't see how it would work electorally, but maybe...
Democrats see the race card as their most viable strategy for Hillary to defeat Trump.
Trump is playing the face card against the Dems on immigration, which is his biggest selling point with the GOP base. Folks are actually chanting "White Power" at Trump rallies.
Dems are delighted that the GOP is alienating not only Blacks but browns, reds, tans, and whatever is not white with US demographics shifting rapidly toward a majority not of pure European ancestry.
And no, Ben Carlson is not going to get the GOP nomination.
I don't think Carson has to win to demonstrate a proof-of-concept. If the Republicans can jettison the racist crazies back to the Democrat party, and gain enough black, brown, reds, tans... whatever by running a more diverse, yet conservative ticket, I think the GOP will do it.
It potentially gives them a much larger party as the racist reputation wears off. The white racists are a ball and chain around the GOP neck and the Dems use the label and win every time even when their candidates stink like Hillary or Biden. Poor angry whites aren't very conservative socially compared to immigrant and religious communities.
The big theme in the world is a resurgence of conservative social movements against the western neoliberal power elite. It is certain to emerge in the United States as well and Dems represent all that. But it could emerge differently here, "Bernie" posters are all over Houston lately maybe we buck the international trend and elect a left winger instead of conservative crazies to rebel against the paradigm. Ted Cruz, our man in Washington is scary, a crazy conservative tea party guy that even the conservative establishment in Texas hates.
Ben Carson's experience is as a neurosurgeon. There is nothing in his background to suggest he has the ability to govern a country or manage a large organization, other than that he is obviously smart. He has zero experience that is relevant to being POTUS. His appeal is to a certain interest group based on his social and political views.
Moreover, he only joined the GOP on "November 4, 2014, the day the 2014 midterms took place, as 'truly a pragmatic move' because he was considering running for president in 2016," according to the Wikipedia entry on him. That's not much time to build relationships or gain party cred.
There are other reasons, but these I think are key why the GOP will not nominate him and the American people would not choose him as their leader if he were nominated.
He presents too big an unknown, and it's likely that voters think it is too risky in parlous times to have a president who is learning on the job.
But stranger things have happened. At this juncture it is too early to tell. What's significant at this stage is the issues that are dominant, more than a candidate's chances of taking the nomination.
I'd rather have a neurosurgeon than a buffoon like Trump.
Isn't this down to the number of delegates? Winning enough delegates means you win in the Democratic Party whatchamacallit/shindig.
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