I have criticized Martin Armstrong, along with Paul Craig Roberts, on some of their economic ideas, but they are both making contributions that should be recognized, too. They are important because they are speaking mostly to the right of the political spectrum.
Martin Armstrong
Putin & Military Establishment
Here is another post of interest by Armstrong.
Civil Unrest, Revolution, & the Phase Transition Curve
For a fuller treatment of phase transition and social change, see Ricard V. Solé, Phase Transitons, Princeton University Press, 2011.
Phase transitions--changes between different states of organization in a complex system--have long helped to explain physics concepts, such as why water freezes into a solid or boils to become a gas. How might phase transitions shed light on important problems in biological and ecological complex systems? Exploring the origins and implications of sudden changes in nature and society, Phase Transitions examines different dynamical behaviors in a broad range of complex systems. Using a compelling set of examples, from gene networks and ant colonies to human language and the degradation of diverse ecosystems, the book illustrates the power of simple models to reveal how phase transitions occur.
Introductory chapters provide the critical concepts and the simplest mathematical techniques required to study phase transitions. In a series of example-driven chapters, Ricard Solé shows how such concepts and techniques can be applied to the analysis and prediction of complex system behavior, including the origins of life, viral replication, epidemics, language evolution, and the emergence and breakdown of societies.
Written at an undergraduate mathematical level, this book provides the essential theoretical tools and foundations required to develop basic models to explain collective phase transitions for a wide variety of ecosystems.
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