Sunday, March 26, 2017

China Daily — Central bank: Boost economy using fiscal policy

The cycle of global quantitative easing is coming to an end and policymakers should rely more on fiscal policy to stimulate growth, Zhou Xiaochuan, China's central bank governor, said on Sunday.
Zhou warned about the overreliance on monetary easing and said that policy is not "a panacea that can cure all kinds of illness".
"The direction is to see the limit (of monetary policy) and to consider very carefully how to get out of the period of monetary easing," Zhou said at a panel discussion at the Boao Forum for Asia.
In addition, governments should improve balance sheets and fiscal positions to create more room for fiscal policy, he said....

The central bank governor said China has the flexibility in fiscal policy, as the debt level of the central government is not very high, and added the country needs to streamline the relationship between the central and local governments to ensure fiscal policy fits the local conditions.
Zhou saw inflation and asset bubbles as the "unintended consequence" of the monetary easing....
The central bank launched mortgage rules to cool the property market. Among them, raising the down payment requirement for buyers of a second home in Beijing to 60 percent of the price.
Central bank: Boost economy using fiscal policy
China Daily


China will be more open to foreign investment in its financial sectors, but the level of openness depends on compromises of all parties concerned during bilateral investment treaty (BIT) negotiations, said People's Bank of China governor Zhou Xiaochuan on Sunday.
Speaking during the Boao Forum for Asia, Zhou stated China has prepared, in its BIT negotiations with the US and its trade talks with European and ASEAN countries, to take even more significant steps to open up its banking, insurance, investment banking, securities and payments sectors.
However, he noted that China hopes Chinese investors, particularly those in private sectors, can gain fair treatment overseas after it opens up its financial sectors. The governor added that China's attempts to import high-technology in at least civilian sectors should be allowed.
"Each party should make some compromises. Only then can globalization move forward and all benefit from it," said Zhou.
China will substantially cut the number of sectors on the negative list which are not open to foreign investment and offer foreign investors fair treatment in its 11 free trade zones, according to Zhou.
The governor also mentioned U.S. President Donald Trump's call for a "big border tax" on imports or the Border Adjustment Tax (BAT), which has been a topic of much discussion around the world. It is believed that BAT will lead to the appreciation of the U.S. dollar by 20 to 25 percent.
Bai Chongen, a Tsinghua University professor and member of the central bank monetary policy committee, suggested further openness in foreign direct investment be considered to reduce the negative impact of the U.S. tax reform on China.
Zhou indicated that it remains to be seen whether or not the U.S. will implement BAT in its tax reform. He said China has prepared for further openness in recent years, but its openness is not directly connected with the foreign exchange rate.
The governor noted that China is waiting to see how the Trump administration approaches trade and investment negotiations. Meanwhile, China is actively negotiating with Japan, European and ASEAN countries to achieve positive results as early as possible.


Ralph Musgrave said...

“In addition, governments should improve balance sheets and fiscal positions to create more room for fiscal policy…”. Translated:

“Governments should run surpluses (which will crash the economy) so as to reduce national debts, so that they can then engage in standard fiscal stimulus, i.e. borrow and spend, which returns national debts to their original position.”


People high places in China are the same sort of useless windbags as we have in high places in the West. Or have I missed something?

Peter Pan said...

It's all part of their plan, Ralph.

Ralph Musgrave said...

Penguin pop,

On the subject of "bullshit ahead", you don't know the half of it. My local hospital, coincidentally, wants to look up my rear end with an endoscope day after tomorrow. So tomorrow I have to take take some stuff which will cause me to evacuate my entire lower intestine.

I'll keep you abreast of developments, as I'm sure you're interested...:-)