Saturday, August 3, 2013

Paul McCulley and Zoltan Pozsar — Does Central Bank Independence Frustrate the Optimal Fiscal-Monetary Policy Mix in a Liquidity Trap?

"[T]he role of an independent central bank is different in inflationary and deflationary environments. In the face of inflation, which is often associated with excessive [government borrowing and] monetization of government debt, the virtue of an independence central bank is its ability to say "no" to the government. [In a liquidity trap], however, excessive [government borrowing] and money creation is unlikely to be the problem, and a more cooperative stance on the part of the central bank may be called for. Under the current circumstances [of a liquidity trap], greater cooperation for a time between the [monetary] and the fiscal authorities is in no way inconsistent with the independence of […] central bank[s], any more than cooperation between two independent nations in pursuit of a common objective [or, for that matter, cooperation between central banks and fiscal authorities to facilitate war finance] is consistent with the principle of national sovereignty."
— Governor Ben S. Bernanke
GIC Global Society of Fellows
Does Central Bank Independence Frustrate the Optimal Fiscal-Monetary Policy Mix in a Liquidity Trap?
Paul McCulley, Chair, GIC Global Society of Fellows and Zoltan Pozsar, Visiting Scholar, GIC Global Society of Fellows

Paper to be presented at the Inaugural Meeting of the Global Interdependence Center’s  Society of Fellows on March 26, 2012 at the Banque de France, Paris

(h/t Brad DeLong at Grasping Reality)


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