Saturday, April 17, 2021

US expects Russia to submit. Will it? — M. K. Bhadrakumar

How far this pantomime will continue under the rubric of “diplomacy” remains to be seen. Expectations must be kept low. Evidently, the Biden administration has no interest to use diplomacy to wean Russia away from an alliance with China, as Kissinger once advised, so as to isolate and encircle China, the US’ main archetypal rival on the world stage. Biden instead expects Russia to submit to American writ and thereby deny strategic depth to China.

But will Russia submit to US hegemony — a nation that held its ground against Napoleon and Hitler? No, it will never.

Dust up your bomb shelter. 

India Punchline
US expects Russia to submit. Will it?
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service

See also
These are policies pushed and promoted by the “Putin whisperers.” For the moment, their will continues to prevail. But their days are numbered, as realpolitik pragmatists in the White House, Pentagon and Intelligence Community are recognizing the reality that the days of taking for granted US global hegemony are over, and that for the United States to remain relevant, it must adapt to the reality of a multi-polar world, and Russia’s rightful role therein. This will not happen overnight, but it is in the process of happening. In promoting and supporting Biden’s latest round of sanctions, the “Putin whisperers” have reached their high-water mark. From here on out, their influence will begin to ebb as the national security demand for fact-based assessments outstrips the domestic political need for fact-free propaganda.
Scott Ritter may be a bit overly optimistic here. "Those people" are the neo-conservatives that now dominant the American foreign policy and international relations elite of both political parties because they have successfully checked opposition to them as unpatriotic, un-American and aiding the enemy. Removing them will be extremely difficult as then-President Trump learned the hard way.

Biden’s Sanctions Binge represents the high-water mark of the ‘Putin Whisperers’
Scott Ritter. former US Marine Corps intelligence officer, served in the Soviet Union as an inspector implementing the INF Treaty, in General Schwarzkopf’s staff during the Gulf War, and from 1991-1998 as a UN weapons inspector

See also
The envoy then made this provocative statement:
“Ukraine has no other choice: either we are part of an alliance such as NATO and are doing our part to make this Europe stronger, or we have the only option – to arm by ourselves, and maybe think about nuclear status again. How else can we guarantee our defense?”
Rick Rozoff

Oh, OK.

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Andrew Anderson said...

Well, nukes are great deterrence to invasion as North Korea proves.

Tom Hickey said...

Well, nukes are great deterrence to invasion as North Korea proves.

Ukraine signed the non-proliferation treaty.

Ahmed Fares said...

Well, nukes are great deterrence to invasion as North Korea proves.

full-blown war with North Korea wouldn’t be as bad as you think. It would be much, much worse.

The experts I spoke to all stressed that Kim could devastate Seoul without even needing to use his weapons of mass destruction. The North Korean military has an enormous number of rocket launchers and artillery pieces within range of Seoul. The nonpartisan Congressional Research Service estimates that Kim could hammer the South Korean capital with an astonishing 10,000 rockets per minute — and that such a barrage could kill more than 300,000 South Koreans in the opening days of the conflict. That’s all without using a single nuclear, chemical, or biological weapon.

source: Here’s what war with North Korea would look like

Incidentally, Iran is using the same strategy as North Korea to deter an attack by the US, threatening both Saudi Arabia and Israel.

Iran’s military strategy toward Israel can be summed up in four words: “A ring of fire”. The term refers to the efforts of Iran to expand its precision guided missile project throughout the Middle East in order to build , “… a ring of fire around the State of Israel.”

The phrase was coined by Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror, the former head of the Research Division of Israeli Military Intelligence. Today, he is a Senior Fellow at the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security.

In an important speech given a year ago, Amidror explained, “The first element is Hezbollah in Lebanon, the second element is the independent Iranian war machine in Syria which will be connected to tens of thousands of Shiite militia members located in Syria or Lebanon, or both, and a land corridor going from Iran through Iraq into Syrian and Lebanon.”

In Lebanon, Iran has already succeeded in supplying its loyal proxy Hezbollah with a massive arsenal of more than 130,000 rockets. Over the past several years, Iran has been working to upgrade these rockets into precision guided missiles.

source: Iran’s ‘Ring of Fire’: A Growing Threat to Israel

"We would retaliate everywhere." —Iranian official (think missiles against Saudi oil installations and water desalination plants here.)

"If Iran is attacked, I would do my duty." —Hassan Nasrallah (Hezbollah) in a recent interview.

Matt Franko said...

Way to go “blue wave!”

Good job guys!

Peter Pan said...

300,000 dead South Koreans is acceptable "collateral damage".

Several million dead Americans in a city blown up by one of Kim's nukes, is a deterrent to Washington warmongers.