Tuesday, March 22, 2022

Links — 22 Mar 2022 Part 3

Alternet
Russia and NATO are 'bat-sh*t f*cking insane' to consider using tactical nuclear weapons: everyone else
Common Dreams
https://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/687188846/0/alternet_all/

Sputnik International (Russian state-sponsored media)
Russia Would Only Use Nuclear Weapons if Its Existence Was Threatened, Kremlin Says
https://sputniknews.com/20220322/russia-would-only-use-nuclear-weapons-if-its-existence-was-threatened-kremlin-says-1094096537.html

The Vineyard of the Saker
Day 26 of “Operation Z” in the Ukraine
The Saker
http://thesaker.is/day-26-of-operation-z-in-the-ukraine/

Reminiscence of the Future
And Why Not 12% or 13.5%, For That Matter?
Andrei Martyanov, former USSR naval officer and expert on Russian military and naval issues
http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2022/03/and-why-not-12-or-135-for-that-matter.html

Zero Hedge
Biden Says The Quiet Part Out Loud (the not-so-hidden agenda. reassertion of unquestioned American primacy in the world. Not that this is anything new.)
Thomas Lifson via AmericanThinker.com
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/biden-says-quiet-part-out-loud

RT — Question More
Capitol riot suspect receives asylum in Belarus
https://www.rt.com/news/552493-capitol-riot-granted-asylum-belarus

Real-World Economics Review Blog
World map of billionaires
https://rwer.wordpress.com/2022/03/22/world-map-of-billionaires/

TASS (Russian state media)
Nationalists hold hostage over 4.5 million Ukrainians, 7,000 foreigners — Defense Ministry
https://tass.com/defense/1425947

Deliveries of SSJ 1-00 with full import substitution can start in 2024 (import substitution of commercial aircraft). Another market gone for the West.)
https://tass.com/economy/1425917

Russian business will leave Facebook, Instagram for local social networks — expert
https://tass.com/economy/1425907

SouthFront (sanctioned by the US Treasury Department)
Victories And Crimes Of Ukrainian Azov Militants In Mariupol
https://southfront.org/l/

Defense One
US Needs More Arms Factories, Says Chief Weapons-Buyer Nominee
Marcus Weisgerber
https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2022/03/pentagon-weapons-buyer-nominee-says-us-needs-hot-production-lines-munitions-drones/363474/

Chartbook
Chartbook #103 How refugees' need for cash exposes the limits of Euro sovereignty
Adam Tooze
https://adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-103-how-refugees-need-for

NEO (sanctioned by the US Treasury Department)
Ukrainian Nazis have Created a “No-Sailing Zone” on the Black Sea (mines)
Vladimir Odinstsov
https://journal-neo.org/2022/03/22/ukrainian-nazis-have-created-a-no-sailing-zone-on-the-black-sea/

The National Interest
Will Biden Turn the Sanctions Weapon on China? For every sanction America imposes, China will impose another in its turn.
David C. Hendrickson
https://nationalinterest.org/feature/will-biden-turn-sanctions-weapon-china-201336



23 comments:

Footsoldier said...

General Shamanov proposed to designate the final line of the special operation of the Russian Armed Forces along the border of Ukraine and Poland

"Today it is time for our leadership to say specifically: there are borders and just try the Poles to poke your head here at least ten meters. And immediately get the full scheme: "Caliber" and all the power of artillery and aviation. This is not a nuclear weapon, but an ordinary one. And then the vaunted Polish army will run with its knees up to Warsaw. "

https://mobile.twitter.com/vicktop55/status/1506365720208330756


Footsoldier said...



Where does it end ? Where is the new border get drawn ?


If NATO get a foothold anywhere in Western Ukraine. We will all be back here again in a few years time.


Russia has to seriously consider taking the whole lot. Secure the borders with Ukraine's neighbours before a peace deal is signed. Push the Nazis into surrounding countries as refugees.

Have a permanent base in Western Ukraine like they have in Kazakhstan. Before retreating the army.

Get something like the Minsk agreement in place. That gives both Western and Eastern Ukraine a veto.


Putin has stated many times he does not want to take over Ukraine. The way things are playing out he might not get that option. Have to take all of it.

I just can't see him make the same mistake again and allow NATO a foothold in Western Ukraine ?












Footsoldier said...

Joseph Biden brags about how he rigged the judicial system of Ukraine.

https://mobile.twitter.com/DefendAssange/status/957212097984819200?cxt=HHwWgMC7sZzV2cgaAAAA

Tom Hickey said...

@ Footsoldier

From what I hear, I suspect Russia would be just fine with Poland taking back Nazi-infestedGalicia, and maybe even expects it.

Footsoldier said...

Tom,

Yeah it is up in the air....


But Lavrov speech today covered it which makes me think otherwise in the Q& A


Question: Russia is conducting an operation in Ukraine. It is not a secret that Russia is building a Greater Eurasia. Can you clue us in a little: is Sergey Shoigu going to stop at the border with Poland? Or are we going into Transnistria and Moldova? What is the plan? Are we going to unite further?


Sergey Lavrov: We declared our goals. They are fully legitimate and clear: to protect the people of Donbass (with which we are now allies) that are subject to blatant aggression. For these purposes and based on our treaties, we applied Article 51 of the UN Charter on collective self-defence. Another goal is to eliminate any threats to Russian security posed by the militarisation of Ukraine that is carried out by the West. There must be no strike weapons in the country or threats in the form of Ukraine’s nazification, for obvious reasons. The aggressive spirit of the Ukrainian elite has been consciously created to be like this by Western instructors throughout these decades. They trained neo-Nazi battalions, showing them how to conduct aggressive combat operations, etc. We have no other goals beyond these.

Alternatively, the other side may come up with some curious goals. For example, Prime Minister of Poland Mateusz Morawiecki has proposed an idea that will be discussed soon, which is to send NATO peacekeeping forces to Ukraine. It is possible that, should this decision be made all of a sudden, it will entail that Polish personnel will make up the core of these peacekeeping forces and they will take control over Western Ukraine, including the major city of Lvov, to remain there for a prolonged period of time. It appears to me that this is the plan.

I believe this initiative is doublespeak. NATO will realise they should be reasonable and realistic.

Footsoldier said...

Something big is happening in Belarus on the Russian side.

The Saker keeps threatening to tell everyone but hasn't done it yet.

To do with what happens when this ends.

Tom Hickey said...

@ Footsoldier

What happens at the end is determined by the facts on the ground. Russia has not indicated it intends to establish facts on the ground beyond the original boundaries of the Donbass area. However, if it takes Mariupol, which it will, and Odessa, which is not yet seriously surrounded, then things might change. Same with Transnistria. That would cut Ukraine off from the Black Sea ports and makes strategic sense. Russia has the forces capable of achieving this.

Russia apparently doesn't want Kiev, or the land west of the Dnieper. It has not assembled a force sufficient to take and occupy all of Ukraine and there is no indication that is in the cards.

Russia will only take the eastern section in which the population is heavily Russian enabling it to control insurgency. The rest of the Ukraine would be a headache in that regard, as it is a Western trap, and economically it is a liability instead of an asset.

Russia wants a negotiated solution on its terms. It will be willing to settle for Ukrainian neutrality, Donbass independence, and recognition of Crimea as Russian territory, but if Ukraine holds out, then Russia will up the ante.

The ultimate objective of Russia is to drive NATO back to the borders before expansion east, other than reunification of Germany, in accordance with the promise that Gorbachev was made.

Footsoldier said...

Something is brewing Tom,



Most important developments today:


-The fighting in Donbass region has reached a possible critical break through turning point. Units of the DNR have broken through the heavily entrenched lines of the Ukr forces at several points. The most important is the key suburb town of Marinka (just SW outside of Donetsk) where DNR troops have taken over half of the town from the east and are pushing west.

https://twitter.com/GeromanAT/status/1506333693157203976

This is important because that entire line which leads to Kurakhove slightly west is considered a central command & control headquarters of the entire Ukie Donbass contingent. I don’t know why exactly this is simply something I keep hearing from people in the know. One of the reasons I’m sure is because it sits on the important highway to Zaporzhzhia which is one of the 3 or so important arteries that supply all of Ukrainian forces in Donbass. The other northernmost such artery is already blocked by RF forces outside Izyum so this is critical.

There are other breakthroughs on the line at Verkhnotoretske near Horlivka and elsewhere.

https://twitter.com/GeromanAT/status/1506292453334302722/photo/1


https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1506260433283469314

-Meanwhile RF forces have been coming up from the south of this location and have pushed up into Novomykhailivka (the Donetsk one, not Zaporzhzhia one). If you look at the map, that’s just to the south of the above mentioned important Marinka battle. That means RF forces will soon be flanking the retreating Ukr forces at Marinka, joining the advancing DNR forces there, and then that all important line and key highway/artery will begin falling like dominos. We’re only a day or two away from that now.


This area is just north of Stepnoe which if you recall RF troops had captured just a day or two ago with brutal UKr losses, which we’ve seen video/photos of corpses littering the streets and destroyed armor. Stepnoe is about 6km behind so this is a clear example of steady progress being made daily despite some people thinking offensives have stopped.

RF troops have also entered Urozhaine just south of Velyka Novosilka (the major town of the area) slightly west of the above mentioned area. the major town of the area.

https://twitter.com/Suriyakmaps/status/1506212288092639234

If you notice I generally only post updates which can be fully confirmed with actual videos of troops on the ground and in the towns, to make sure these map adjustments are as accurate as possible.

-Here’s a map of how Izyum is looking on the north side of the Great Cauldron

https://twitter.com/GeromanAT/status/1506372982985342977

Footsoldier said...

As you can see the all-important road junction just south of Izyum there is controlled by RF. This road junction is one of the major arteries and lifelines of the entire Ukrop cauldron from the Kramatorsk-Slavyansk-Dnipro supply axis.

-On that note, Kramatorsk was hit with a devastating airstrikes today which has allegedly caused massive losses for Ukrop rear support. The mayor is said to have lashed out on his social media account accusing citizens of filming the fuel tanks and troop gatherings. There was a huge fuel depot destroyed and several pieces of armor and reports say significant troop deaths as well but this is unconfirmed. The enraged mayor claimed that the person who “leaked” the location was found and “shot on the spot” in an extrajudicial war crime. Whether this is true or him just venting.

-RF forces also bombed a critical rail juncture that was supplying Ukrop forces in the rear.

-Around Kiev, Ukrop authorities are starting to get desperate and concoct all sorts of shrill psyop attempts to demoralize RF troops, saying that they have been “cut off” by Ukr forces and placed in a boiler. In fact, the opposite is true, RF troops continue to expand zone of control and are slowly working their way not only west towards Zhytomir but south as well towards Byshiv.


https://i.postimg.cc/bJ0T6w8b/5318892928661305794.jpg

Large surrenders continue to occur in Kiev region such as this video of 70 Ukrops captured.

DPR has stated that Azov forces in Mariupol started at 14,000 and are now at an estimated 7,000 remaining. The rest have been captured, killed, dispersed/fled into population/evacuation corridor, etc. Cleansing work continues in Mariupol. I saw another photo of dead Azov in a civilian van (I posted video last time of Azovs shot up in a van by Chechens). This is further proof they have no real vehicles left and are scurrying around the city in civilian cars to their bunkers and hiding spots.

-For the 2nd night in a row we have official MOD reports that all night long Russian “NIGHTHUNTER” Mi-28 along with Ka-52’s have operated and destroyed 10+ pieces of armor as well as artillery. The reason for this change of tactic is because they have nightvision/FLIR etc and Ukrops for the most part don’t, including for their Manpad systems. So it allows the attack choppers to operate much more safely and destroy everything they find each night.




Footsoldier said...

For those that don’t know, recently Russian helicopters have pretty much exclusively started operating on the frontlines with a new tactic which I’ve personally never seen before, where they approach the enemy position from a few kilometers away, pull back on their sticks and aim their noses upward, then shoot their rockets upward, almost using them as artillery in order to cover much more range, so that they can reach enemy positions without having to actually go near them for fear of Manpads. A pilot has stated that this method is made surprisingly accurate because the Russians have a system by which to calculate the precise distance to target and then the precise “angle” of ascension to pull their chopper into based on mathematical equations which allows the rockets to go extra far and still hit the targets. There’s several videos showing the choppers firing in this method from far away.
As you can see the all-important road junction just south of Izyum there is controlled by RF. This road junction is one of the major arteries and lifelines of the entire Ukrop cauldron from the Kramatorsk-Slavyansk-Dnipro supply axis.

-On that note, Kramatorsk was hit with a devastating airstrikes today which has allegedly caused massive losses for Ukrop rear support. The mayor is said to have lashed out on his social media account accusing citizens of filming the fuel tanks and troop gatherings. There was a huge fuel depot destroyed and several pieces of armor and reports say significant troop deaths as well but this is unconfirmed. The enraged mayor claimed that the person who “leaked” the location was found and “shot on the spot” in an extrajudicial war crime. Whether this is true or him just venting.

-RF forces also bombed a critical rail juncture that was supplying Ukrop forces in the rear.

Around Kiev, Ukrop authorities are starting to get desperate and concoct all sorts of shrill psyop attempts to demoralize RF troops, saying that they have been “cut off” by Ukr forces and placed in a boiler. In fact, the opposite is true, RF troops continue to expand zone of control and are slowly working their way not only west towards Zhytomir but south as well towards Byshiv.


https://i.postimg.cc/bJ0T6w8b/5318892928661305794.jpg

Large surrenders continue to occur in Kiev region such as this video of 70 Ukrops captured.

Footsoldier said...

DPR has stated that Azov forces in Mariupol started at 14,000 and are now at an estimated 7,000 remaining. The rest have been captured, killed, dispersed/fled into population/evacuation corridor, etc. Cleansing work continues in Mariupol. I saw another photo of dead Azov in a civilian van (I posted video last time of Azovs shot up in a van by Chechens). This is further proof they have no real vehicles left and are scurrying around the city in civilian cars to their bunkers and hiding spots.

-For the 2nd night in a row we have official MOD reports that all night long Russian “NIGHTHUNTER” Mi-28 along with Ka-52’s have operated and destroyed 10+ pieces of armor as well as artillery. The reason for this change of tactic is because they have nightvision/FLIR etc and Ukrops for the most part don’t, including for their Manpad systems. So it allows the attack choppers to operate much more safely and destroy everything they find each night.


For those that don’t know, recently Russian helicopters have pretty much exclusively started operating on the frontlines with a new tactic which I’ve personally never seen before, where they approach the enemy position from a few kilometers away, pull back on their sticks and aim their noses upward, then shoot their rockets upward, almost using them as artillery in order to cover much more range, so that they can reach enemy positions without having to actually go near them for fear of Manpads. A pilot has stated that this method is made surprisingly accurate because the Russians have a system by which to calculate the precise distance to target and then the precise “angle” of ascension to pull their chopper into based on mathematical equations which allows the rockets to go extra far and still hit the targets. There’s several videos showing the choppers firing in this method from far away.

Footsoldier said...

Lastly, the big rumor that continues to grow in size is that a major escalation looms on the horizon. NATO and American officials have now officially stated that Belarus will be entering the conflict in 6-7 days, to which Ukrainian border guards have replied they are “ready and waiting” for them. I’ve posted countless pics/videos of Belarussian convoys being transported around the country with red square IFF markings.

-But the bigger news is that Poland is now set to officially request a NATO intervention at the March 24 “Extraordinary NATO Summit” in Brussels. Poland is rumored to request permission for 10,000 troop peacekeeper force to enter Ukraine. Interestingly, the U.S. has already issued a statement saying that U.S. will not use any troops in Ukraine BUT, “Other members of NATO can decide for themselves”. It seems U.S. is leaving open the legal possibility that they will allow the greenlighting of other countries to enter Ukraine while U.S. simply conducts the proceedings from behind as mastermind.

Today multiple American convoys of Stryker units were seen reportedly on the Polish/Belarussian border:

https://twitter.com/RWApodcast/status/1506386176860696586

https://twitter.com/RWApodcast/status/1506386307840364551

And of course we’ve seen massive American Abrams tank transfers in Germany happening for the entire past week now.

Here is an exiled Belarussian parliament member’s statement today:

https://twitter.com/PavelLatushka/status/1506357814398263304


Footsoldier said...

UK intelligence has warned the Office of the President that Lukashenka will enter the war in the next ten days. Mi-6s are confident that Belarusian troops will be involved in the second phase of the campaign, when Mariupol is taken or Kyiv is surrounded”

https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/22/europe/belarus-ukraine/index.html

-Yesterday I reported that Belarus diplomats suddenly “evacuated” their embassy in Poland and fled to Belarus. Now there are reports that the Russian embassy in Warsaw was seen black smoke exiting the chimney which is a sure sign diplomats are burning paperwork as is the common tactic and reports indicate Russian diplomats are set to leave Poland soon.

Now this may all be cockamamie rumor, or it may be the gradual slide towards major escalation in this conflict. If Poland and Belarus somehow both enter the conflict things will get quite interesting, and an obvious precursor to WW3 will be set in motion.

https://www.parisbeacon.com/65299/


“It is specified that the project foresees the sending of an international peace contingent, made up of up to 10,000 military from various countries. According to reports, the troops should be deployed at a certain distance from the line of fire and their objective would be to guarantee the protection of humanitarian corridors for people and cargo..”

https://news.cgtn.com/news/2022-03-21/Poland-says-it-s-discussing-NATO-troops-for-Ukraine-18A52tGLl4I/index.html

We’ll have to wait and see for the 24th what happens at the big Nato summit.


The rumour In short western intelligence are saying within a week Belarus are going to enter Ukraine why at this meeting on the 24th NATO troops will cross the border.



Footsoldier said...

This could be what the saker was holding back since Fri that Belarus was going to be the peace keeping force when it ended.

We’ll have to wait and see for the 24th what happens at the big Nato summit.


Are they really crazy enough to send NATO troops into Ukraine ?


The US from afar is conducting European slaughter and WW3 if the rumour proves to be true. The European countries should tell the US to feck right off and send their own troops in.

Footsoldier said...

After Lavrov speech today obviously Russian intelligence thinks this is the plan.


If the rumour is true the West don't even need a false flag. They are just going to say we entered Ukraine as we believe Belarus was going to join the war.

Even if it isn't the truth.


I hope it is all BS.


Or if true European members of NATO on the 24th tell uncle Sam and the UK to get tae feck.

Tom Hickey said...

@ Footsoldier

Andrei Martyanov today on Poland and Ukraine partitioning.

http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2022/03/about-rumors-which-may-not-be-rumors.html

Peter Pan said...

State propaganda CBC continues to report that the Russian invasion is 'breaking down'.

Footsoldier said...

The meeting on the 24th will be huge to what happens next.


Just look at Poland's actions over the last month, all the arms were getting sent through There to Western Ukraine then moved to the East.


I wouldn't trust them to take my bins out or my granny to the bingo.


Never mind trust them as a peace keeping force.


After the last month how can Russia trust any of them ?


Why Belarus makes much more sense to me. Putin knows who is dealing with. Lavrov is normally reliable and straight forward when he talks.


Let's see what the 24th brings. Everything will soon be known over the next few weeks.

Footsoldier said...

Poland has missles pointing at Moscow.

What's stopping them moving them into the parts of Western Ukraine they annex?


Closer to Moscow as a NATO country ?


The thing Putin is trying to prevent ?



Makes no sense to me.

Footsoldier said...

"State propaganda CBC continues to report that the Russian invasion is 'breaking down'."

They have to because those that are winning the war don't do false flags. It's always those that are losing that perform that trick.

Footsoldier said...

RUSSIAN COLONEL GENERAL ON UKRAINE:

https://southfront.org/without-hysterics-and-insults/


How they were ordered to take the gloves off 9 days ago. Strategy changed from - not to cause even hypothetical harm to civilians and civilian objects to a single phrase: “not to the detriment of unit personnel”.


How they have expect the Ukrainians to police the situation themselves when it is over. Which is now happening in Eastern Ukraine.

"But this is another special operation, a police operation. Which the Ukrainians themselves are capable of carrying out with minimal Russian help once they get over the shock. This is their land; they have to live there. If they proclaim a reward of five thousand dollars for an anonymous denunciation, all the saboteurs and partisans will be gone in a day. It’s a country like that."


That was a tactic they used in Crimea. They increased the pension so that Crimea had the highest paid pension in Ukraine.

Pepe Escobar was sitting on a train leaving the Crimea. Once it was announced the trains were turned around and Ukrainians flocked back into Crimea. To get the better pensions.






Matt Franko said...

“ State propaganda CBC continues to report that the Russian invasion is 'breaking down'.


lol both can’t be right… somebody is getting it wrong…

Peter Pan said...

Most Canadians trust the CBC... I'm not one of them.