Thursday, June 30, 2022

Links — 30 June 2022 Part 1

1945
Is NATO Membership for Finland and Sweden a Bad Idea? (Yes, it increases the probability of the US being nuked, with no corresponding benefit to either the US or NATO)
Lt. Col. Daniel L. Davis (USA ret.), Senior Fellow and Military Expert for Defense Priorities
https://www.19fortyfive.com/2022/06/is-nato-membership-for-finland-and-sweden-a-bad-idea/

A Son of the New American Revolution
AMERICANS DO NOT UNDERSTAND THEIR OWN MILITARY HISTORY
Larry C. Johnson | CEO and co-founder of BERG Associates, LLC, an international business-consulting firm with expertise combating terrorism and investigating money laundering, formerly Deputy Director in the U.S. State Department’s Office of Counter Terrorism (1989-1993, and CIA operations (1984-1989)
https://sonar21.com/americans-do-not-understand-their-own-military-history/

Reminiscence of the Future
I Fully Agree With Larry Here.
http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2022/06/i-fully-agree-with-larry-here.html

Typical Putin))) (Vlad has some advice for BoJo)
http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2022/06/typical-putin.html

North-South
http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2022/06/north-south.html
Andrei Martyanov, former USSR naval officer and expert on Russian military and naval issues

RUSSTRAT—Institute of international political and economic strategies (Russian state-sponsored)
https://russtrat.ru/en/comments_/30-june-2022-0039-10927

One World
Russia’s Snake Island Pullout Was An Entirely Predictable Goodwill Gesture
https://oneworld.press/?module=articles&action=view&id=3034

https://oneworld.press/?module=articles&action=view&id=3033
Andrew Korybko, American geopolitical analyst and independent journalist based in Moscow, and member of the expert council for the Institute of Strategic Studies and Predictions at the People’s Friendship University of Russia

Asia Times
US starts sanctioning China for supporting Russia
Jeff Pao
https://asiatimes.com/2022/06/us-starts-sanctioning-china-for-supporting-russia/

7 comments:

Peter Pan said...

A woman has gone missing in Massachusetts. Her name is Meghan A. Marohn

Peter Pan said...

I don't disagree with Larry C. Johnson, except that Russians have proven themselves to be selfless and stupid. They'll sacrifice themselves for whoever is in power in Moscow.

As cannon fodder, they behave like Asians.

But that is all in the past. With a nuclear deterrent, old-fashioned wars of conquest ought to be over and done with. Cannon fodder replaced by vapourized civilian populations.

Joe said...

The Russians pretty much have to strike Finland to save face now. If you get a hell of a more nato on your border then you lost the main point of the Ukraine war. The first half of Putin's feb 24th speech was all about nato advancement towards Russia. Sure the Finns themselves aren't a threat like the Ukrainians are, they have a tiny population and a nato ground invasion from Finland isn't likely, but it won't be long until US missiles are stationed there. So can the Russians polish this turd to make it look like it's not a huge loss? Do they have enough capacity at present to start a 2nd war? Time to just shut the spigot off to all of Europe?

Peter Pan said...

If Finland doesn't have nukes on its soil, why attack it?

Although Finland gave up neutrality, it remains in a defensive posture.
That is another reason for Russia not to attack.

Finally, why does Russia see European nuke launchers as an existential threat, when they have launchers in the far east which cannot be destroyed from Europe or North America. Their retaliatory potential remains intact.

Joe said...

or maybe the Russians realized they'd been pushed into a corner. If they do nothing, Ukraine gets further integrated into Nato (a defacto member, but a de jure non-member is perfect for causing trouble to Russia. It's a layer of insulation against a direct attack on nato). So they had a choice, prevent Ukraine and get Finland, or I suppose you could prevent Finland but then you'd still have the Ukraine problem, so they picked the far more important one.. This was foreseeable, it's been talked about since pretty much day 1 of the war, so the Russians obviously have thought about it.
I know nothing, but I'd have preferred to see Russia just mobilize and straight up say, "no more new nato countries on our border." and make good on it. But obviously making good on that is a *very* difficult thing to do. But you probably can't make a legal case on that, soo.. blah.

Peter Pan said...

What would it take to dismantle NATO?

Tom Hickey said...

What would it take to dismantle NATO?

Likely it would be the result of political change, or fear of it on the part of the ruling elite. Several European "right" parties are advocating withdrawing from NATO and their vote share is increasing.

The US and UK are unstable politically too.

Could see even some "regime change" in the West in the near future, especially if Western economies go south.