Friday, June 3, 2011

NYT über-statistician Nate Silver on economic predictors of presidential elections

Nate has a good analysis of economic predictors of presidential elections.

Read the whole thing at What Do Economic Models Really Tell Us About Elections?

The upshot? Don't believe what you are likely to be hearing in the media on this.

1 comment:

Senexx said...

Rule of Thumb: Inflation, Interest Rates, Unemployment - any two of these fall since last election government retained, if any two rise government changed. Sawford Theory.