Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Leonid Bershidsky — Putin Is the Loser in Prisoner Swap With Ukraine

Bershidsky really doesn't get the subtlety of the Russian move. Nadia Savchenko is not only a neo-Nazi (Aidar battalion), she is a rabid one. Russia just unleashed a nuclear weapon on Ukraine by returning her. She is immensely popular on the right and a petition is already circulating to make her president of Ukraine instead of Poroshenko. She is slated to be a star.

Having an internationally prominent neo-Nazi in a high position in Ukraine is going to be a bitter pill for Ukraine's liberal allies to swallow. The US will be able to cover it up largely through control of the US media, but that will not be the case in Europe — and Putin is aiming to pry Europe out of the US-UK orbit by embarrassing the European countries for their subservience.

With respect to persuasion, this was a move by a master persuader. It will pay off big, although it will lead to the Ukrainian right being bolder militarily toward Russia. This, too, plays into Russia's hands, since it reveals Ukraine to be the aggressor.

I was thinking from the very beginning that this would be the smart strategic move.

Bloomberg View
Putin Is the Loser in Prisoner Swap With Ukraine
Leonid Bershidsky


The Saker gets it but hates that Putin let her go.

The Vineyard of the Saker
Putin’s poisoned gift to the Ukraine (first impressions – not an “analysis”)
The Saker

Villain or hero? The many faces of Nadezhda Savchenko

1 comment:

Peter Pan said...

We went from Europe building trade links with Russia to a renewed Cold War. We lost.