Sunday, March 5, 2017

David M Rothschild — Globalization good for USA, but bad for me

A strong plurality of Americans believe that globalization has sidelined them, but has been good for the US economy overall. So, how do they react? They want the government to help them out: massive majorities of Americans believe the government should make college tuition-free and provide healthcare to all people. At the same time they think everyone is whiny: majorities (or strong pluralities) believe that liberals, conservatives, and young people complain too much....
Americans, worried that globalization is making everyone, but them, rich, thinks the government should make things better for them: free college and healthcare. ” Should the government make college tuition-free?” 67 percent agree and 27 percent disagree; 82 percent of Democrats agree and 47 percent of Republicans. ” Should the government pursue a universal health care system guaranteeing health care to all people?” 76 percen t agree and 19 percent disagree; 90 percent of Democrats agree and 61 percent of Republicans.


GLH said...

What in the world does a Rothschild know about Americans? Does anyone here think that globalization is bad for Rothschild and good for us?

Tom Hickey said...

David M. Rothschild is an American economist and statistician.

I am an economist at Microsoft Research in New York City. I have a Ph.D. in applied economics from the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania. My primary body of work is on forecasting, and understanding public interest and sentiment. Related work examines how the public absorbs information. I write extensively, in both the academic and popular press, on polling, prediction markets, social media and online data, and predictions of upcoming events; most of my popular work has focused on predicting elections, an economist take on public policy, and choices in news generation and consumption. After joining Microsoft in 2012 I have been building prediction and sentiment models, and organizing novel/experimental polling and prediction games; this work has been utilized by Bing, MSN, Cortana, and Xbox. And, I correctly predicted 50 of 51 Electoral College outcomes in February of 2012 (wish I trusted my model or polling more in 2016), average of 20 of 24 Oscars from 2013-6, and 15 of 15 knockout games in the 2014 World Cup.

I am also a fellow at the Applied Statistics Center at Columbia and the Penn Program on Opinion Research and Election Studies.