Wednesday, December 11, 2019

Bill Mitchell — Discredited academic dinosaurs continue to seek relevance

As many mainstream macroeconomics try to reinvent themselves after their reputations were trashed during and in the aftermath of the GFC, some are still trying to stay relevant by recycling the usual trash about deficits, public debt and bond yields that defines the New Keynesian orthodoxy in macroeconomics. That approach has been emphatically exposed as fake knowledge by the fact that none of the predictions that can be derived from that framework have proven to be accurate. On December 9, 2019, the UK Guardian took a rest from imputing anti-semitist motives to Jeremy Corbyn and published a sort of dinosauric-type article from Kenneth Rogoff – Public borrowing is cheap but ramping up debt is not without risk. Yes, the same character that claimed during the crisis that there was a public debt threshold of 90 per cent of GDP, beyond which, governments would face insolvency. When it was discovered the spreadsheet they had used to come up with that conclusion had been incompetently (or fraudulently) manipulated and that the actual data did not show anything of the sort, Rogoff should have slunked off and shut his mouth forever. But that is not the way these characters operate. Memory is short. Their position as an agent for their elites is well paid. And so they keep recycling the nonsense. Eventually, their influence will decline. But as Max Planck noted in 1948 “Die Wahrheit triumphiert nie, ihre Gegner sterben nur aus”, which has been reduced to ‘science advances one funeral at a time’, which is not a verbatim translation but an accurate depiction of how change is slow to come to the academy....
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
Discredited academic dinosaurs continue to seek relevance
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

9 comments:

Matt Franko said...

“Discredited”

If he was discredited he wouldn’t get published in The Guardian.... and he is relevant ...

Ralph Musgrave said...

Matt, He's only "relevant" because he's a Harvard prof, and if you're a typical newspaper editor, i.e. a twit who can't distinguish between sense and nonsense, then you're on very safe grounds publishing stuff by a Harvard prof. If the prof talks complete BS, which Rogoff does, then you as editor are in the clear: you just claim there can't be anything wrong with publishing stuff by a Harvard prof.

Clint Ballinger said...

(Matt Franko) By chance I had blogged about Rogoff (and Reinhart) about a week before his new 'article.'

"AUSTERITY IN A TIME OF PLENTY: The “domestic default” bogeyman = More bad statistics from Reinhart & Rogoff"
https://clintballinger.wordpress.com/2019/11/28/austerity-in-a-time-of-plenty-the-domestic-default-bogeyman-more-bad-statistics-from-reinhart-rogoff/

Clint Ballinger said...

For those who don't like to cut and paste ;)

AUSTERITY IN A TIME OF PLENTY: The “domestic default” bogeyman = More bad statistics from Reinhart & Rogoff

Matt Franko said...

Cmon Ralph Rogoff is trained the same way as the newspaper editor... ie not to discriminate... that's how the Liberal Arts division of the academe operates... of course the journo is going to include as many theses as possible... create a "dialectic"... its for morons...

Bill is doing the same thing that's why they never get anywhere... MMT just remains one of many competing/opposing theses operating under this platonistic/dialectic method..

Bill's correct things will change when this guy dies his work will be folded in with others in a synthesis of present opposing theses... they'll just take the 90% number and apply it to the 2.2% growth figure or something.... but the new thesis as a synthesis of the dead wont work either..

"the ration of sin (missing the mark) is death".... this whole method is provisioned by death...

Look at all the current praise for Volker who died this week... guy was a Monetarist asshole and f-ed up the whole economy over here in the 80s caused a big recession... now watch the next time these deranged idiots think there is "inflation!" (which btw these morons cant even define...) they're gonna jack rates back up to 20% or some shit... "that's what Volker did!"... his idiocy will live on without him...

We who use the discriminatory method (science) have our work immediately adopted because it works... if the solution doesnt work its immediately discarded (discrimination) with no argument among us... Orville Wright lived until 1947 saw his work from 1907 immediately accepted until we were breaking the sound barrier only 40 years later.. At his death he wasn't arguing that we should still be making aircraft out of wood and cloth...

Nobody at Boeing working on the 737Max problem right now is arguing to do nothing different... they would get thrown out immediately... they have discarded the past configuration of that model and are making proper corrective adjustments..

This whole thing is a major cognitive problem within mankind at core... you have a large swath of mankind that is refusing to discriminate... its a cognitive problem not a material problem... we throw out half of our food and yet people dont have access to food its a f-ing joke...

this whole method of cognitive training has to be discarded as it currently is being applied to those in management/administration of our material provisioning systems..

dont hold your breath...

Peter Pan said...

Dinosaurs became birds, so looks like we're stuck with them. Stock up on old newspapers, you'll need them.

S400 said...

“ Nobody at Boeing working on the 737Max problem right now is arguing to do nothing different...”

They’re doing it now with their pants down...

S400 said...

“We who use the discriminatory method (science)
have our work immediately adopted because it works...”

"[W]e should be on our guard not to overestimate science and scientific methods when it is a question of human problems; and we should not assume that experts are the only ones who have a right to express themselves on questions affecting the organization of society."

Who’s that f-cking violin playing art degree moron saying that? Oh it’s Einstein....
He’s nobody in science compared to Matt Franko...

Peter Pan said...

Boeing had a Quality Control guy... they forced him into early retirement. Squeaky wheel got the grease.