Monday, December 21, 2020

Deglobalisation in the context of United States-China decoupling — Alicia García-Herrero and Junyun Tan

Overall, it is too early to confirm the depth and the sustainability of the current wave of deglobalisation, but an increasing number of signals suggest a trend of deglobalisation is underway.
Bruegel 
Deglobalisation in the context of United States-China decoupling
Alicia García-Herrero and Junyun Tan

See also

Sputnik
US Commerce Department Lists 103 Russian, Chinese Companies With Alleged Military Ties

MintPressNews
Trump Enacts Sweeping New Sanctions on China, Iran, Venezuela. Biden Promises More To Come
Alan Macleod


10 comments:

Peter Pan said...

Far from dropping the practice, Biden’s major challenge, according to those cited, will be “to sort out which sanctions to keep, which to undo and which to expand.”

China should be in the Biden's good graces... the others, not so much.

Peter Pan said...

If you're into astrology and are a Biden supporter (or hater), you might want to check out the entry for November 17th: US Presidential Inauguration 2021
https://www.subscribestar.com/john-michael-greer

Executive Summary: The most relentlessly malefic mundane chart I have ever studied greets the incoming administration with a barrage of hostile aspects almost entirely unrelieved by favorable indications. The government can expect to be hammered by one crisis after another, with economic troubles, popular protests, and outbreaks of violence over the top of a spreading collapse of public support in the status quo that puts the entire structure of American governance in question. Whoever is inaugurated early next year is facing political disaster, and whoever becomes the next president thereafter is going to have a gargantuan mess to clean up.

Tom Hickey said...

Whoever is inaugurated early next year is facing political disaster, and whoever becomes the next president thereafter is going to have a gargantuan mess to clean up.

Don't need astrology to know that.

As I have said, I don't see any relief before 2032, if then.

Peter Pan said...

No lesson to be drawn from a malefic chart?
(With regard to a man who has sought the presidency for most of his life.)

Anyhoo...
Why are you seeing relief 12 years from now?

Tom Hickey said...

Why are you seeing relief 12 years from now?

I don't necessarily see relief but the possibility of relief.

Why"

1. Demographics. The current leadership has to be replaced by digital natives or at least digital literates. We are still in the analog age as far as the leadership goes, where there is very little systems awareness. Digital people are much more systems aware. Both collective consciousness and attendant conditions are going to different in the 2030s.


2. In addition, ecological sustainability is going to be not only a thing then, but the thing. Do or die. Entire industries will shift.

3. One consequence of this is a new world order, which is beginning to take shape now and the US and West are resisting. Resistance is futile and will only lead to war.

4. Also inequality is on an unsustainable path and by then there will the will to confront the existing neoliberal system in a major way, e.g, regarding market-based misallocation due to asymmetries that are no longer possible to ignore or minimize. There is already rising demand for anti-trust.

So the 2020s look to be an interregnum. Watch the emerging leadership that will be jockeying for power and influence.


Peter Pan said...

1. Young boss same as old boss.

2. Once a deadline is passed, only the dying part remains.

3. Already have a de-facto multi-polar world operating under the doctrine of mutually assured destruction. The consequences are catastrophe by accident or out of spite.

4. That may be addressed sooner, and in ways less than empathetic.

I believe the Universe has a sense of humour that is unappreciated by optimists.

Andrew Anderson said...

I believe the Universe has a sense of humour that is unappreciated by optimists PP

Rather God resists the proud but gives grace to the humble. James 4:6, etc.

Peter Pan said...

The humble subsistence farmer may have the last laugh, so to speak.

Peter Pan said...

Digital people are bound to embrace old analog ideology.

Peter Pan said...

The Grand Mutation: An Astrological Interlude
https://www.ecosophia.net/the-grand-mutation-an-astrological-interlude/

Over the last year, and especially over the last month, I’ve fielded a flurry of questions about the astrological meaning of the conjunction of Jupiter and Saturn that took place on Monday. I’ve been intrigued to note that quite a few of those questions have come from people who admit they don’t know much about astrology but have a sense, however vague, that this conjunction matters. As it happens, they’re quite correct. The conjunctions of Jupiter and Saturn have a special role in astrology, and this one was of particular importance. As I’ll discuss shortly, it marks the end of one era in world history and the beginning of another.