Thursday, August 27, 2015

Stratfor — How China's Currency Policies Will Change the World

Analysis
There were several reasons behind China's decision, but it nevertheless came as a surprise to many. In search of stability, China has tied its currency to the U.S. dollar since 1994, usually at a low value relative to the dollar. During the 2000s, the connection helped China keep its exports competitive, with the developed world consuming its output. The West's economic collapse in 2008 meant that this model could no longer function, and China began trying to grow consumption levels so that the domestic consumer might come to fill the hole left by the faded international market. 
Changing China

Transforming from an export-led economic model to a consumption-led one could be described as changing from being like Germany to being like the United States, and China has tried to reproduce some of the advantages that the United States has created for itself in the same role. One of those advantages is the dominant position of the U.S. dollar in world trade, which means U.S. consumers can go deeply into debt and global demand for dollars will delay the moment at which this comes to a head by those debts being catastrophically called in. Thus China sought to grow international usage of the yuan, making strides in its attempts to do so. The next step would be for the yuan to be accepted into the International Monetary Fund's "currency," the Special Drawing Right. However, the IMF has said that China would need to liberalize its currency before such a step could take place. The IMF makes the decision every five years, with one originally set for November this year, but the institution recently pushed it back to October 2016.….
Neoliberal-think. All about interest rates, exchange rates, and central banking.

Stratfor
How China's Currency Policies Will Change the World

2 comments:

mike norman said...

Never thought Stratfor had a clue when it came to economics. I don't know why people pay so much for that service. After Great Financial Crash, Stratfor was heavy into the whole, hyperinflation, printing money meme. Dummies.

Anonymous said...

It's just a CIA mouthpiece.