Tuesday, December 8, 2015

Michael Hudson — The IMF forgives Ukraine’s loan to Russia

Since 1947 when it really started operations, the World Bank has acted as a branch of the U.S. Defense Department, from its first major chairman John J. McCloy through Robert McNamara to Robert Zoellick and neocon Paul Wolfowitz. From the outset, it has promoted U.S. exports – especially farm exports – by steering Third World countries to produce plantation crops rather than feeding their own populations. (They are to import U.S. grain.) But it has felt obliged to wrap its U.S. export promotion and support for the dollar area in an ostensibly internationalist rhetoric, as if what’s good for the United States is good for the world.
The IMF has now been drawn into the U.S. Cold War orbit. On Tuesday it made a radical decision to dismantle the condition that had integrated the global financial system for the past half century. In the past, it has been able to take the lead in organizing bailout packages for governments by getting other creditor nations – headed by the United States, Germany and Japan – to participate. The creditor leverage that the IMF has used is that if a nation is in financial arrears to any government, it cannot qualify for an IMF loan – and hence, for packages involving other governments.…
By doing so, it announced its new policy: “We only enforce debts owed in US dollars to US allies.” This means that what was simmering as a Cold War against Russia has now turned into a full-blown division of the world into the Dollar Bloc (with its satellite Euro and other pro-U.S. currencies) and the BRICS or other countries not in the U.S. financial and military orbit.
What should Russia do? For that matter, what should China and other BRICS countries do? The IMF and U.S. neocons have sent the world a message: you don’t have to honor debts to countries outside of the dollar area and its satellites.
Why then should these non-dollarized countries remain in the IMF – or the World Bank, for that matter. The IMF move effectively splits the global system in half,between the BRICS and the US-European neoliberalized financial system.
Should Russia withdraw from the IMF? Should other countries?
The mirror-image response would be for the new Asian Development Bank to announce that countries that joined the ruble-yuan area did not have to pay US dollar or euro-denominated debts. That is implicitly where the IMF’s break is leading.…
The Vineyard of the Saker
The IMF forgives Ukraine’s loan to Russia
Michael Hudson specially for the Saker Blog

Michael Hudson is the president of The Institute for the Study of Long-Term Economic Trends (ISLET), a Wall Street Financial Analyst, Distinguished Research Professor of Economics at the University of Missouri, Kansas City, and Guest Professor at Peking University

See also
The IMF’s decision to lift the ban on loans to nations with overdue sovereign debts was made to prejudice Russia and in order to legalize opportunity for Kiev not to pay its debts, Russia’s Finance Minister Anton Siluanov said on Tuesday.
"It was made solely to prejudice Russia and for purposes of legalizing the opportunity for Kiev not to pay its debts. Reluctance of the United States to resolve the issue with replenishment of IMF’s capital that would be highly useful for tackling Ukraine’s debt problems appears glaring against such background. It turns out it is much simpler to change base rules of IMF work formed for years on end and delay the decision on amendments to its Articles of Agreement and capitalization then to essentially resolve problems of defaulting nations implementing the IMF program," Siluanov said.
The Russian Ministry of Finance will defend its rights as a lender and is already preparing documents for the court, minister Anton Siluanov said on Tuesday.
Tass
IMF’s decision made to prejudice Russia — Russia’s Finance Minister

6 comments:

Matt Franko said...

This rather sounds like a way for them to loan more munnie to Ukraine even though they are in breach with Russia, which in the past would have disqualified them for more loans .... Soros may get his munnie back yet...

Matt Franko said...

Tom did you ever think as all the MMT top-enders are under Soros' patronage thru INET that they may come up with some sort of convoluted "neo-liberal conspiracy!" fantasy like Hudson here to justify (in their own minds...) what is in fact just a way to get more munnie for Soros' elements in Ukraine?

Tom Hickey said...

The West is torn between geopolitics and economics. They want Ukraine geopolitically but don't want to bear the expense of it. The only way it works is if the assets can be sold to Soros, Biden Jr, etc, and the government run by US puppets like the American finance minister who was given Ukrainian citizenship when she got the job.

Ironically, the Ukrainian cabinet meetings are conducted in Russian, since it is the most commonly understood language among the members.

mike norman said...

Ukraine's loan to Russia? Shouldn't that be the other way around??

Matt Franko said...

Well Tom I think those people are already in it and DEEP... and the loans are going bad as those deals were made when the oil and the gas were a lot higher... now they are both in the toilet and there is not enough revenues to service the loans.... hence the need for more loans (to them...)

Tom Hickey said...

Yes, it should be Ukraine's debt to Russia instead of loan.

Ukraine is claiming that it is not sovereign debt and Russia is, threatening to take Ukraine to court if it reneges. A decision for Ukraine would totally upset the world financial order and the IMF decision to overlook Ukraine's financial position is a step in that direction, too.

Hudson is correct in saying that is is driving a wedge between the Western dominated global financial order and the ROW led by the BRICS. An alternative financial order is already in the works as a result.

The same thing holds for the global communications system dominated by the West and used for Western military and corporate espionage.

This is dividing the world into two power blocs with opposing interests.

The US is committed to not letting that happen, using military means as necessary but preferring clandestine means, that is internal subversion and regime change, and proxies like the arming, training and financing of the Afghan "freedom fighters" that morphed into Al Qaeda.

What could possibly go wrong with this geostrategy?