Wednesday, January 15, 2020

Bill Mitchell – The German government celebrates its record surplus while infrastructure collapses

Wednesday blog post – so only a few snippets including some discussion about Germany’s latest extreme outcome – a record fiscal surplus, which the Ministry of Finance is claiming is responsible. Judged by the fact that the economy has ground to a halt and there is a massive infrastructure deficit in the country as a result of a systematic starving of capital expenditure by the government, one has to ask: are they joking! The surplus was, in part, the result of the German government not spending allocated public investment funds because there are insufficient skilled public servants on tap to manage the projects. So the government has hacked into skilled employment first, then it finds that there are not enough qualified officials left to oversee essential projects. So capital formation contracts and the allocated funds go unspent. So, the Government records a surplus and cheers while bridges, roads, hospitals, IT infrastructure, transport infrastructure decays further. Modern day Germany – ridiculous....
Bill Mitchell – billy blog
The German government celebrates its record surplus while infrastructure collapses
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

21 comments:

AXEC / E.K-H said...

Bill Mitchell cracks the spending whip over the Swabian Housewife
Comment on Bill Mitchell on ‘The German government celebrates its record surplus while infrastructure collapses’

Bill Mitchell’s political agenda has been and still is: destruction of the European Union, fighting budget balancers all over the world, boosting deficit-spending/money-creation all over the world, and telling the general public that all this is for the benefit of WeThePeople.

Bill Mitchell calls himself a Progressive but MMT policy does NOT benefit WeThePeople but the Oligarchy. This is because of the macroeconomic Profit Law which implies Public Deficit = Private Profit and Public Debt of WeThePeople = Financial Wealth of the Oligarchy. This implies that Austerity is bad for the Oligarchy and deficit-spending/money-creation is bad for WeThePeople.#1

Accordingly, Germany with her Black-Zero commitment is MMT’s arch-enemy.#2 Even more so, after Mr. Corbyn has been finished off in Britain.#3-#6

Bill Mitchell gives budget balancers the whip: “The interesting point, apart from the sheer idiocy of the German position, is that the way we think about these flows for Germany or any nation that uses a foreign currency is different to the way we would construct the situation for a currency-issuing government such as Australia or the UK. In both cases, a fiscal surplus means a net withdrawal of spending power by the government which squeezes the non-government sector for liquidity, and, once the transactions are completed causes non-government financial wealth to decline overall. But in the case of Germany, which uses the euro as a foreign currency, the surplus allows it to put the excess flow into bank accounts somewhere and increase its spending power in periods ahead. … The stock adjustments that accompany this result forces a reduction in net financial assets in the non-government sector and a reduction in debt-issuance, if the government is, unnecessarily, matching the deficits with debt sales.”

It is almost impossible to detect the economic fraud in this argument. In order to see it, one has to replace the term non-government sector with business sector/Oligarchy: “… a fiscal surplus means a net withdrawal of spending power by the government which squeezes the BUSINESS sector for liquidity, and, once the transactions are completed causes OLIGARCHY financial wealth to decline overall.” and “The stock adjustments that accompany this result forces a reduction in net financial assets in the BUSINESS sector and a reduction in debt-issuance …”

As an agent of the Oligarchy#7, Bill Mitchell cannot give Germany a pass but has to apply the defamation whip with the utmost rigor. This is pathetic theatrics because from the scientific standpoint Modern Monetary Theory is nothing but a load of proto-scientific garbage and MMT policy is a case for the application of RICO laws on academia.#8

With the reduction of the public debt, Germany has virtually eliminated the national/international Oligarchy’s space for present/future financial suppression/blackmail. The Swabian Housewife has successfully outwitted Wall Street’s loan sharks.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke

References
https://axecorg.blogspot.com/2020/01/bill-mitchell-cracks-spending-whip-over.html

Ralph Musgrave said...

It's good to see EK-H trotting out his absurd claim that deficits benefit just the "oligarchy" for the umpteenth time. His reason is that deficit dollars go straight into the pockets of employers, not employees.

The truth is that when government spends on a new bridge or whatever, the ratio of money going to employers and employees is the same as for any other type of spending: i.e. a large majority goes to EMPLOYEES (though clearly the percentage going to employees should be higher than it currently is).

Ralph Musgrave said...

Bill Mitchell wants Germany to spend more on infrastructure despite admitting that there isn't enough skilled labour in Germany to actually do the infrastructure work!

Slight self-contradiction there I think.!!

AXEC / E.K-H said...

Ralph Musgrave

You say: “Bill Mitchell wants Germany to spend more on infrastructure …”

The decision about infrastructure-spending in Germany is the business of the Legitimate Sovereign of Germany. What Bill Mitchell wants is irrelevant.

All the more so as Bill Mitchell is known to be an incompetent scientist who applies in his recent textbook a sectoral balances equation that is provably false since Keynes.

So, Germany and the rest of the world wants Bill Mitchell/Stephanie Kelton/Warren Mosler/Dirk Ehnts/etcetera to learn elementary algebra before they go on their deficit-cheerleading tours and, most of all, wants that Australia spends more on her poor educational infrastructure and — dream of all dreams — keeps their academic imbeciles in the country.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke

S400 said...

Bill has math degree. Egmont I believe was kicked out of Stuttgart university...

AXEC / E.K-H said...

S400

You say: “Bill has math degree.”

“Economics is the study of the economy, not the study of economists.” (Ricardo Reis)

So, your argument “Bill has math degree” is irrelevant for the point at issue. The point is that Bill and the other MMT academics are too stupid for the elementary algebra that underlies macroeconomics. Obviously, this applies also to you. For a mathematically competent person, it is not too hard to understand that the MMT sectoral balances equation is false after following through the proof.

My conclusion from your irrelevant personal information “Bill has math degree” is that he must have gotten it from Trump University.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke

Matt Franko said...

I’m assuming he’s a B.A. in Math....

Matt Franko said...

Good point on the real terms Ralph... same thing going on here .... not enough STEM trained....

If they think they can just throw munnie at the infrastructure problem it may create their “inflation!” for them....

Matt Franko said...

Egmont are you saying the surplus is good because it denies EUR to the “neoliberals!” Or “orligachy!” or wtf?

Is that your basic point?

S400 said...

My conclusion from your irrelevant post is that you where kicked out from Stuttgart university.

S400 said...

“ So the government has hacked into skilled employment first, then it finds that there are not enough qualified officials left to oversee essential projects.”

“ Good point on the real terms Ralph...”

As shown not a good point. Not enough art degree there. The envy will deepen....

Matt Franko said...

We have real problems with qualified labor...

Just "increasing the deficit!" isn't going to spontaneously generate a bunch of new and qualified infrastructure workers...

B.A. in Gender Studies is the wrong training...

AXEC / E.K-H said...

Matt Franko

You say: “Egmont are you saying the surplus is good because it denies EUR to the “neoliberals!” Or “orligachy!” or wtf? Is that your basic point?”

The basic points are
• MMT macroeconomics is algebraically false. Therefore the propaganda line Government Deficit = Non-Government Surplus is provably false.
• Correct macro-accounting tells one that Public Deficit = Private Profit and as a consequence Financial Wealth of the Oligarchy = Public Debt of WeThePeople.
• So, the MMT policy of deficit-spending/money-creation is for the benefit of the Oligarchy. The empirical proof is the actual distribution of income/financial wealth.
• By consequence, the MMT claim that MMTers are fighting for the benefit of WeThePeople is a political fraud.

So, either you don’t get it (= stupid) or you are part of the greatest financial fraud in modern times (= corrupt).

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke

Matt Franko said...

Youre against "the oligarchy!" (ie youre a conspiracy theorist like the rest of the morons here...) so you are curve-fitting the ex post accounting to be congruent with your political bias...

AXEC / E.K-H said...

Matt Franko

You say: “Youre against ‘the oligarchy!’ (ie youre a conspiracy theorist like the rest of the morons here...)”

I use the term Oligarchy descriptively in the classical Greek sense as defined in Wikipedia.#1

Oligarchy is a term of Political Science. Because economics is dealing with the economy and NOT with politics, the ‘Oligarchy’ is of NO particular interest in the present context.

To paraphrase: Economics is the study of the economy and NOT the study of economists and NOT the study of the Oligarchy.

A key concept for the study of the economy is profit. Now, it is a provable fact that Modern Monetary Theory gets profit wrong. Because MMT gets the foundational macroeconomic concepts wrong the whole analytical superstructure is scientifically worthless. As a consequence, MMT policy guidance has NO sound scientific foundations. From this follows that academic MMTers are out of science.

This raises the question of why they are busily touring the world and spreading provably false claims about the public deficit and the public debt and actively fighting against legitimate representants of WeThePeople like Mr. Corbyn, for example, .#2

Wikipedia continues with the description of present-day Oligarchy: “Simon Johnson wrote that ‘the reemergence of an American financial oligarchy is quite recent’, a structure which he delineated as being the ‘most advanced’ in the world. Jeffrey A. Winters wrote that ‘oligarchy and democracy operate within a single system, and American politics is a daily display of their interplay.’ The top 1% of the U.S. population by wealth in 2007 had a larger share of total income than at any time since 1928. In 2011, according to PolitiFact and others, the top 400 wealthiest Americans ‘have more wealth than half of all Americans combined.’”

This “financial oligarchy” is the intended or unintended product of the MMT policy of deficit-spending/money-creation. Everyone with basic mathematical competence can read this directly off the axiomatically correct macroeconomic Profit Law.

Whether the agenda-pushing of MMTers for the benefit of the Oligarchy is unintended or intended needs further research. This research is beyond the purview of economics. Economics is about how the economy works and NOT about how the Oligarchy works.

As a rule of thumb from history since the ancient Greeks, one can derive with a high probability the conclusion that almost all people who claim to fight for WeThePeople are actually agenda pushers for the Oligarchy. Because of the macroeconomic Profit Law, i.e. Public Deficit = Private Profit, this applies in any case to the academic MMT loudspeakers Bill Mitchell and Stephanie Kelton.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke

#1 Wikipedia “Some contemporary authors have characterized current conditions in the United States as oligarchic in nature.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oligarchy

#2 MMT: Corbynism is dead, British Labour is next
https://axecorg.blogspot.com/2019/12/mmt-corbynism-is-dead-british-labour-is.html

S400 said...

"Just "increasing the deficit!" isn't going to spontaneously generate a bunch of new and qualified infrastructure workers..."

And that's what Bill also concluded but your inability to NOT cherry pick in texts like Bills make you come up with another conclusion than Bill.

That YOUR cherry picking is of course not in any way scientific, making you a STEM hack of highest degree.

And of top of that you have this Art Degree envy and your extreme right wing bias making it even harder for you to come up with any clear thinking, much less anything near descent criticism of whatever. It's just simple ranting with some buzz words you think sums up something which it doesn't.

Tough luck Matt....

AXEC / E.K-H said...

Matt Franko

News for you directly from Zerohedge: “There is no hiding anymore, the United States has become an oligarch owned banana republic with nukes, …”

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/capitalism-america-how-dismal-decimal-robbing-americans-blind

Public deficit-spending/money-creation is a free lunch program for the Oligarchy. The fact is that the market economy is already for a long time on the life support of the State. Profit is in the main produced by public deficits. The Oligarchy, in turn, uses the opulent free lunches to corrupt the State’s legislative, executive, judiciary institutions in its favor. This constitutes a positive feedback loop and this, in turn, explains the exponential deterioration of distribution.

MMT policy is instrumental in this vicious circle. MMT is no good for WeThePeople.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke

S400 said...

WeThePeople-Egmont Kakarot-Handtke

The people aren’t that many it seems.

AXEC / E.K-H said...

Ralph Musgrave

You say: “The truth is that when government spends on a new bridge or whatever, the ratio of money going to employers and employees is the same as for any other type of spending: i.e. a large majority goes to EMPLOYEES.”

Yes, this is common knowledge but absolutely irrelevant for the point at issue.

What you are doing is trivial micro, what has to be done is macro. In other words, you need the total picture.

The total picture tells one that the employees not only get income Yw but that they also spend C. And for the profit of the business sector as a whole Q only the BALANCE of the household sector counts, i.e. Q≡C−Yw, S≡Yw−C. Take notice that wage income Yw is a FLOW and that profit Q is a BALANCE. You should know the difference from Accounting 101.

With the government deficit/surplus included one has Q=(G−T)−S. This gives Public Deficit = Private Profit when the household sector is for a moment taken out of the picture, i.e. S=0. In this case, the BALANCE of the business sector is equal to the BALANCE of the government sector. The flow of wage income Yw is IMPLICIT in the balances.

The truth is that your comment shows again your bottomless stupidity.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke

Dr. Wintermute said...

Dear Egmont,

do you really have nothing better to do with your time than insulting random people on the Internet and calling them out for their supposed stupidity and/or corruption?

Why do you even bother to reply to their messages? You seem to suffer from a sort of reversed Duning-Kruger-Effect, making your happiness dependent on the appreciation you get from persons much dumber than you. Don’t you understand that the people you choose to associate with only reflect your own poorly developped networking skills?

Humans are stupid. And water is wet. Get used to it. Intelligent persons like you have it much more difficult finding like-minded people, mostly because they're too preoccupied reading books or studying mathematical equations. You seem to be the book-smart type, but not very street-smart. Here's news for you: there’s no such thing as "social justice". Like Karl Marx and many other leftists you have a fetish for social equality. But the way you present your political opinions boils down to a naturalistic fallacy. Even if the economical system works the way you assume (which I consider mostly correct), you present no argument for why social inequality is an inherently bad thing (and makes the politicians who don't actively fight against it "corrupt"). Therefore your advice to get back to the wisdom of the «Swabian houswife» has no sound scientific foundations. What’s wrong with common people and states getting in debt and leading a hedonistic lifestyle (and, as an uninntended side-effect, making the elite rich this way)? In the end, such a behaviour just reflects a subjective choice. Only difference is that now, with your economic theory, we can make this choice consciously (which I'm thankful for). There’s no fraud involved in quantitative easing, fractional reserve banking and/or charging interest on debt. There is, however, a fraud involved in intellectual property rights and the desire to get both monetary and non-monetary rewards for your intellectual labour. You can't have your cake and eat it too without doing harm. The (leftwing) media and university elite is ripe with parasites. Unfortunately, the hard sciences(especially nuclear engineering!) are no exception to this.

Dr. Wintermute

Suggested reading:

(1) The intellectual dishonesty and fraud of leftwing academia and media (Dr. Wintermute) http://analytischesozialkritik.blogsport.eu/files/2020/01/the-intellectual-dishonesty-and-fraud-of-leftwing-academia-and-media.sm_.pdf

(2) Die Drift der Erkenntnis. Zur Theorie selbstmodifizierter Systeme bei Gödel, Hegel und Freud (Dieter Hombach). Source: http://analytischesozialkritik.blogsport.eu/2020/01/18/die-drift-der-erkenntnis-dieter-hombach/

(3) Intentionality, randomness and negative self-reference (Dr. Wintermute, UPDATE as of January, 2020). Source: http://analytischesozialkritik.blogsport.eu/2020/01/09/intentionality-randomness-and-negative-self-reference/

AXEC / E.K-H said...

Dr. Wintermute

You say: “Here’s news for you: there’s no such thing as ‘social justice’.”

Take notice that ‘social justice’ is a political concept. Now, there is the political realm and the scientific realm and both are disjunct. In the political realm, there is left/right, in the scientific realm there is true/false and NOTHING else.

“Economics is the study of the economy, not the study of economists.” (Ricardo Reis)

The sectoral balances equation describes the interdependencies of the macroeconomic balances. I have given the proof that the MMT balances equation is false. Because MMTers get the foundational macroeconomic relationship wrong the whole analytical superstructure of MMT is false. And from this follows that MMT policy guidance has NO sound scientific foundations. And from this follows that MMT is NOTHING more than political propaganda. And from this follows that MMT academics are NOT scientists but political fraudsters.

From the fact that this is not a big problem for you, I infer that you are as intellectually corrupt as the MMT academics.

Whoever thinks that my proof is false and can point to the exact spot is welcome. No valid refutation of the axiomatically correct balances equation#1 has been presented to this day.

Your comment is silent about how the monetary economy works. You do not even understand the point at issue but get lost in meta-communication about how to communicate with imbeciles. And this proves that you have NO idea of what science is all about.

You say: “Like Karl Marx and many other leftists you have a fetish for social equality.” Here’s news for you: Marx, too, got profit wrong and because of this Marxianism, too, is proto-scientific garbage — just like MMT and Walrasianism and Keynesianism and Austrianism and Orthodoxy and Heterodoxy and Pluralism and Hegel and Freud and the Analytische Sozialkritik.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke

#1 Wikimedia AXEC118d
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:AXEC118d.png