Thursday, August 26, 2021

The Black Swan Theory

This video explains the probability of a Black Swan event, and how governments aren't preparing for the high probability a Carrington Event which could damage the national grid and telecoms systems. 

The threat from the Sun: should we be worrying about coronal mass ejections?

Scientists have real concerns that extreme weather on the Sun’s surface could unleash a catastrophe on humanity

2019 study in the journal Scientific Reports found a 0.5-1.9% chance of a Carrington-level storm happening in the next decade. However, Nasa experts expect the Sun’s activity to “ramp up” during the current solar cycle – with a peak in activity due in July 2025. Even in the worst-case scenario, solar storms take one to three days to hit Earth – so with luck, there should be time to prepare.

The Week 


Peter Pan said...

Black swans are not worth worrying about. We can't even be bothered with the precautionary principle.

Konrad said...

Endless fear-mongering is used to justify fewer freedoms, fewer rights, and more government tyranny.

Kaivey said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Kaivey said...

The video maker took the worst case scientific prediction, but a Carrington Event seems to have a probability of about 0.5% to 1.9%, and scientists believe we will have time to prepare for it.

Matt Franko said...

Wait are we moving on from the water coming up?