Wednesday, August 25, 2021



Yebeer Ban-Yam is a physicist who studies pandemics 

Here's the research - but some people prefer short term freedom which only makes thing worse in the long run. 

44 times more deaths, 2021 second-quarter GDP set back several years, weakly defended freedoms, reduced mobility: the G10 anti-Covid strategy is on the losing end in every respect

Institut économique Molinari has issued a new study on the lasting value of Zero Covid strategy

The study compares the G10 countries that have opted for a mitigation strategy with three OECD countries that have applied the Zero Covid strategy (Australia and New Zealand) or a similar strategy (South Korea).

The elimination strategy continues to produce the best results, challenging the widespread notion that it was necessary to choose between preserving public health, the economy or freedoms. Far from being in contradiction, these goals are complementary and aligned.

The G10 countries have been hit much harder by the pandemic than the countries that have chosen Zero Covid or similar strategies and that form a representative benchmark (82 million people in economically advanced democracies).

In 2020, countries applying the Zero Covid strategy had almost returned to normal economic activity. Their GDP was down only slightly (-1.6%) compared to 2019. Meanwhile, the decline in GDP was greater (-5%) in G10 countries that had not eradicated the virus.

Zero Covid is a cost-effective economic investment with lasting positive effects. In the first quarter of 2021, the GDP of the Zero Covid countries grew compared to the fourth quarter of 2019 (+1.4%). 

In the countries that did not eradicate the virus, GDP decline remained significant compared to the fourth quarter of 2019 (-3.3%).

By 2021, none of the G10 countries had recovered their pre-crisis quarterly GDP levels, 

with the exception of the United States, while Australia, New Zealand and South Korea had done so.


The Zero Covid strategy costs less in terms of civil liberties.

An analysis of the data that make up the Stringency Index indicates a clear advantage for the Zero Covid countries over the other G10 countries in terms of freedom

The OECD countries applying Zero Covid or similar strategies – Australia, South Korea and New Zealand – have had a restriction level four points lower than the G10 countries over the last year-and-a-half (52 versus 56 in the Stringency Index).

Conversely, the stop-and-go alternance in G10 countries, a consequence of the virus mitigation strategy, leads to a periodic retrenchment of freedoms, reflecting measures to contain the pandemic. As long as the virus continues to spread, freedoms are going to be restricted.



NeilW said...

And conveniently no Sweden.

If there isn't Sweden in there, it isn't science. It is propaganda.

Kaivey said...

The Lancet April 2019

In December, 2020, we wrote about the Swedish response to the COVID-19 pandemic.1 Our hope was that our Comment, together with hundreds of other fact-based articles, would gain the attention of the Swedish Public Health Agency (Folkhälsomyndigheten [FHM]), that they would revisit and change the national strategy that they had designed so that it would be more aligned with global best practice, and that the political decision makers would act on it. They did not. Since then, the FHM has recorded more than 5600 deaths from COVID-19 in Sweden, and cases and deaths continue to rise as we face the third wave without any widespread sense of gravity or urgency.

Kaivey said...

So your comment was based on science?

Peter Pan said...

Doctors for Covid Ethics Symposium - Session 1: The False Pandemic

Presented by Doctors for Covid Ethics and hosted by UK Column, the COVID-19 Interdisciplinary Symposium took place on July 29th and 30th.

lastgreek said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
lastgreek said...

These doctors, what is their specialty exactly?

At the start of the pandemic my mother's 60-something dermatologist was all "there's no way I'm taking the vaccine, blah, blah, blah."

OK, so a couple of months ago I had to take my mother to see this guy again for a follow-up. So, out of curiosity, I asked his secretary if they at the clinic were vaccinated: "We sure are. All of us, including Dr..."

No fuckin' kidding. The old geezer works at a major hospita in the city as well, and he fuckin' realized when the ICU was being fuckin' flooded with Covid patients that this fuckin' pandemic is indeed a fuckin' pandemic not to be fucked around with. Fuckin' dickhead telling my mother at the start of the pandemic that he won't be taking the vaccine.

Peter Pan said...

It's not like he had a choice, greek.